军报要求对习亮剑。要撕破脸，当斗士不当绅士。军报再提胡锦涛标语。美中预计很快达成重大协议

 

军报要求对习亮剑。要撕破脸，当斗士不当绅士。军报再提胡锦涛标语。美中预计很快达成重大协议

大家好，
《解放军报》2025年7月23日发表的评论员文章《恪守党性原则 坚守风骨品格》（来源：中国军网），作为“牢固立起 政治干部形象威信系列谈②”，紧随前一天的《强化政治忠诚 永葆初心本色》，表面上聚焦政治干部的党性与风骨，实则可能暗含针对习近平的隐晦批判。文章没有直接点名，但结合当前苗华2025年6月免职、何卫东2025年3月起失踪的背景以及军报上一篇文章的分析，解读其可能指向习近平的批评，反映胡锦涛胡春华可能组织的政治攻势。

一、坚持党性原则与“凌驾于集体领导”的暗指

文章开篇强调“政治工作是党的工作，具有鲜明的党性”，以谭政、黄克诚等老一辈革命家为例，突出“坚持真理、刚正不阿”“不怕撕破脸皮”的党性原则。谭政“敢于同党内的错误思想斗争”，黄克诚“抓党风不怕撕破脸皮”揭露特权问题，暗喻当前可能存在偏离党性、破坏集体领导的行为。结合2022年二十大习近平强行连任，本来江泽民、胡锦涛同意习近平退休，此举可视为对抗“退休党中央”，文章要求“一切工作置于党委统一领导之下、一切重要问题由党委研究决定”，批评习近平凌驾于党的集体领导之上，培植个人权威。
这就是中部战区挂出来的标语，集体领导，民主集中，个别酝酿，会议决定。
这就是胡锦涛的16字标语。胡锦涛喜欢说由党委研究决定。
胡锦涛胡春华可能借此敲打习近平，主张回归党的集体领导，反对习近平“另立中央”的做法。

二、讲真话与“弄虚作假、两面派”的针砭

文章提出“讲真话、报实情”是政治干部的公心体现，引用毛泽东“老实人，敢讲真话的人，于人民事业有利”的教诲，特别强调谭震林要求干部汇报“有一说一”，反对“掩盖问题”。这与军报上一篇文章“两个嘴巴说话、两张面孔做人”如出一辙，直指习近平的虚伪行为。习近平2022年二十大前假意答应江泽民、胡锦涛退休，却暗地筹划强行三连任，如今又玩弄权谋，这种“弄虚作假、回避问题”的两面派作风，正是谭震林所痛斥的根源——党性不纯、私心作祟。苗华、何卫东的被调查表明政治工作系统问题，文章呼吁“同不良思想、不良风气作斗争”，可能暗讽习近平以个人利益为重，破坏党和军队的整体利益，胡春华或借此批判其小圈子治理。

三、坚守风骨与“形式主义表忠”的批判

文章强调“挑战交织、矛盾叠加面前最见党性”，要求“讲团结但不搞一团和气，该斗争时果断亮剑”，不怕撕破脸皮，这都把话说出来了。
并延续前文的“对党忠诚不是挂嘴上表态的，而是用行动践行的”观点。这一表述被视为对习近平时代“过度表忠”的精准批评，尤其在“忠诚核心”“两个维护”成为政治标配的背景下，暗讽“嘴上忠诚、行动失真”的形式主义。蔡奇的“入脑入心入魂”表忠文化是典型例证，

上一篇文章要求“拔除错误思想根子”，
这一篇就更狠了。直接就是果断亮剑
不怕撕破脸
要当斗士不当绅士
这都搂不住了，下一篇再怎么写呢？直接要把包子挂路灯了。
整篇文章，就是杀气腾腾。
这还故意说一个丰泽园，习近平不是他自己说在丰泽园纯一斋办公吗？

美国与日本、菲律宾、印尼等亚太国家达成关税协议

2025年7月22日，美国总统唐纳德·川普先后宣布与日本、菲律宾、印尼达成关税协议，标志着川普贸易政策在亚太地区的初步成果。这些协议在8月1日最后期限前敲定，反映了川普利用关税威胁推动双边谈判的策略。日本协议将关税从25%下调至15%，并承诺向美国投资5500亿美元（90%利润归美），开放汽车、卡车及农产品市场；

川普美国东部时间星期二表示，已就对日本进口商品统一征收15%关税的方案达成协议。川普还称美日达成的是有史以来最大规模贸易协议。

川普星期二晚间还在社交媒体“真相社交”上发帖说：“我们刚刚与日本完成了一项大规模的交易，可能是有史以来最大的一笔交易。根据我的指示，日本将向美国投资5500亿美元，其中美国将获得90%的利润。这项交易将创造数十万个就业机会。以前从未有过这样的交易。”

川普普说，或许更重要的是，美国的汽车、卡车、大米及部分农产品将能更自由地进入日本市场。

负责谈判的日本经济再生大臣赤泽亮正22日当天在社交媒体上发文称“任务完成”。日本首相石破茂对这项协议表示欢迎。日本首相石破茂于日本时间23日上午在首相官邸接受记者采访时说：“这次，关于美国关税措施的日美协商，我与川普总统达成了协议。针对我国的核心产业–汽车及汽车零部件，双方同意将自今年4月起征收的25%的追加关税减半，连同现行税率一并调整为15%。我们率先在全球实现了无数量限制的汽车与汽车零部件关税下调。”

石破茂还指出：“关于对等关税，原本预计日本的关税率将被提高至25%，但我们成功将其限制在15%。这是迄今为止，对美贸易顺差国家中所达成的最低水平。”
现在关税已经不可能完全取消了，
日本都说这是相比其他国家，这已经是最好的结果了。

菲律宾协议实现零关税进口美货并对美出口征19%关税，略低于原计划的20%；
菲律宾总统费迪南德·小马科斯(Ferdinand Marcos Jr.)星期天抵达华盛顿，对华盛顿展开了为期三天访问，贸易和安全合作是他此行的重点。在华盛顿期间，他与川普、国防部长皮特·海格塞斯(Pete Hegseth)以及国务卿马尔科·卢比奥(Marco Rubio)分别举行了会谈。 小马科斯称两国达成协议属“重大成果”。

马科斯为期三天的访问凸显了美菲这两个条约伙伴之间的联盟的重要性。此访正值中国在南中国海越发咄咄逼人，而且马尼拉与北京在南中国海爆发多次冲突的时候。

印尼协议取消99%对美关税壁垒，美对印尼商品征19%，远低于原定的32%。这些协议不仅缓解了贸易紧张，还强化了美国菲律宾的军事合作，并为美国产业（如能源、农业）打开市场，凸显川普“以关税换市场”的谈判手法。台湾也在第四轮协商中寻求深化台美经贸，显示亚太国家普遍倾向通过妥协避免更高关税。

内事不决贝森特，外事不决卢比奥
不管大家有多么不喜欢这个关税，现在这事情被贝森特办成了呀。
一开始他们还讽刺说短短几个月美国要和这么多国家进行谈判，怎么可能实现呢。
事在人为，现在基本被贝森特搞定了，大局已定啊。

中国外交部态度的突然放软

与此同时，中国外交部对美国的态度出现显著转变。7月22日，外交部发言人郭嘉昆回应美国财政部长贝森特（Scott Bessent）关于中国购买俄罗斯和伊朗石油的评论时，没有予以反驳或抗议，而是表示“希望美方同中方一道，落实两国元首共识，通过对话沟通增进共识，减少误解，加强合作，推动中美关系稳定发展”。这与以往中国外交惯常的强硬姿态，比如“搬起石头砸自己脚”形成鲜明的对比。此外，中国取消对美国杜邦公司的调查，进一步显示缓和意图。中共中央政治局委员、国务院副总理何立峰将于7月27-30日赴瑞典与美方举行经贸会谈，延续6月伦敦框架，表明中国有意通过磋商化解贸易摩擦。

可能的原因与推测

中国外交调子的放软可能与多重因素相关。

首先，美国与亚太国家的关税协议形成包围之势，日本、菲律宾、印尼的妥协削弱了中国在区域经济中的影响力，迫使其调整策略以避免孤立。
估计中国也听到风声了，知道美国要和多个国家达成贸易协议。
中国也有自己的情报系统。

其次，贝森特提到8月中旬关税减免期限延后及讨论中国石油采购，暗示美国可能以制裁为杠杆施压。中国没有反驳，可能因为不愿激化矛盾，尤其在俄乌冲突和伊朗制裁背景下，石油问题敏感性高，温和回应或为争取谈判空间。

再次，内部压力可能促使妥协：苗华、何卫东被调查，蔡奇牵连腐败案件，党内权力斗争加剧，8月初秘密会议传，贝森特提及更换总书记，可能迫使中国高层寻求外部稳定以巩固内部。

商务部新闻称何立峰会谈将秉持“相互尊重、合作共赢”原则，暗示中国可能准备在贸易议题上让步。中国可能很快与美国达成贸易协议

综合来看，中国外交的温和转调及何立峰瑞典会谈安排，预示其可能在短期内与美国达成贸易协议。伦敦框架已奠定基础，7月27-30日会谈或聚焦关税减免、能源采购及市场开放。贝森特推动延后8月中旬期限，显示美国有意继续谈判而非立即制裁。中国如果妥协，可能接受部分条件比如减少俄伊石油依赖），换取关税下调或市场准入，类似日本等国的模式。然而，中国外交“抽风”特性，政策多变，需持续观察，如果温和态度持续，可能确认协议在即，否则或为暂时战略调整。美国通过关税协议巩固亚太影响力，中国外交放软或为应对外部压力与内部危机，瑞典会谈或成转折点。如果中国妥协，可能达成贸易协议，但是如果态度僵硬，谈判或陷僵局。当前局势复杂，需关注会谈结果及后续外交动向。

美国对中国商品征收的关税总体税率为55%，这是由多项税率叠加形成的：

• 基础税率（25%）：源自2018年川普政府依据“301条款”对中国商品加征的关税，至今仍保留
• 芬太尼关税（20%）：2025年新增，针对化工原料、电子元件等非医疗类商品
• 保留对等关税（10%）：2025年5月中美日内瓦会谈后，美方保留的惩罚性关税
   计算公式：25% + 20% + 10% = 55%
   特定商品的更高税率
  | 电动汽车 | 高达 100%（基础税率 + 专项关税） |
  | 半导体设备 | 加征 50% 技术封锁关税 |
  | 钢铝产品 | 实际税率约 45% |
• 2025年5月起，美方暂停部分“对等关税”90天，仅保留10%，使当前实际税率维持在55%
• 若谈判破裂，暂停的24%关税可能恢复，总税率将升至 79%

我估计最终的谈判结果45%已经很理想，最终会在45%~55%之间。
其他国家都有关税，中国能谈出来一个稍微低一点关税就不错了。

好的，谢谢大家。

英文翻译

The PLA Daily demands a show of force against Xi Jinping. It calls for a complete break, urging people to be fighters, not gentlemen. The PLA Daily also reiterates Hu Jintao’s slogan. A major US-China agreement is expected soon.

Hello everyone, the commentator article “Upholding Party Principles and Maintaining Integrity and Character” (source: China Military Network), published in the PLA Daily on July 23, 2025, as part of the “Firmly Establishing the Image and Prestige of Political Cadres Series ②,” following the previous day’s “Strengthening Political Loyalty and Maintaining the Original Aspiration,” superficially focuses on the Party spirit and integrity of political cadres, but may actually contain implicit criticism of Xi Jinping. While the article doesn’t directly name names, considering the current background of Miao Hua’s dismissal in June 2025 and He Weidong’s disappearance since March 2025, as well as the analysis in the previous PLA Daily article, it can be interpreted as a possible criticism of Xi Jinping, reflecting a possible political offensive organized by Hu Jintao and Hu Chunhua. Politics

I. Upholding Party Principles and the Implied Meaning of “Above Collective Leadership”

The article begins by emphasizing that “political work is the work of the Party and possesses a distinct Party spirit,” using veteran revolutionaries like Tan Zheng and Huang Kecheng as examples to highlight the Party principles of “upholding truth and being upright” and “not being afraid to confront difficulties.” Tan Zheng’s “daring to fight against erroneous ideas within the Party” and Huang Kecheng’s “not being afraid to confront difficulties in grasping Party conduct” to expose privilege issues implicitly suggest the potential for behavior that deviates from Party principles and undermines collective leadership. Combined with Xi Jinping’s forced re-election at the 2022 Party Congress, a move that Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao had agreed to Xi’s retirement, can be seen as a confrontation with a “retired Party Central Committee.” The article demands that “all work be placed under the unified leadership of the Party Committee, and all important issues be studied and decided by the Party Committee,” criticizing Xi Jinping for placing himself above the Party’s collective leadership and cultivating personal authority.

This is the slogan displayed by the Central Theater Command: Collective leadership, democratic centralism, individual deliberation, and decision by meeting.

This is Hu Jintao’s 16-character slogan. Hu Jintao liked to say that decisions were made by the Party Committee.

Hu Jintao and Hu Chunhua may be using this opportunity to criticize Xi Jinping, advocating for a return to the Party’s collective leadership and opposing Xi’s attempt to establish a separate central government.

II. Criticism of Speaking the Truth and “Deception and Double-Dealing”

The article argues that “speaking the truth and reporting the facts” is a manifestation of the public spirit of political cadres, quoting Mao Zedong’s teaching that “honest people, those who dare to speak the truth, are beneficial to the people’s cause.” It particularly emphasizes Tan Zhenlin’s requirement that cadres report “what is true and what is false,” opposing “covering up problems.” This echoes an article in the military newspaper about “speaking with two mouths and acting with two faces,” directly pointing to Xi Jinping’s hypocritical behavior. Before the 20th Party Congress in 2022, Xi Jinping feigned agreement to Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao’s retirement, but secretly planned a forced three-term term. Now, he is manipulating power again. This double-dealing style of “deception and evasion of problems” is precisely the root cause of Tan Zhenlin’s vehement criticism—impure Party spirit and selfish motives. The investigations of Miao Hua and He Weidong reveal problems within the political work system. The article calls for “fighting against unhealthy ideas and practices,” possibly subtly criticizing Xi Jinping for prioritizing personal interests and undermining the overall interests of the Party and the military. Hu Chunhua may be using this opportunity to criticize his clique-based governance.

III. Criticism of Upholding Integrity and “Formalistic Loyalty Pledges”

The article emphasizes that “Party spirit is most evident in the face of intertwined challenges and overlapping contradictions,” demanding “unity without complacency, and decisive action when necessary,” unafraid to openly confront conflict.

It continues the earlier point that “loyalty to the Party is not just lip service, but action.” This statement is seen as a precise critique of the “excessive loyalty pledges” of the Xi Jinping era, especially given that “loyalty to the core leadership” and “upholding the two safeguards” have become standard political maneuvering, subtly criticizing the formalism of “lip service loyalty with distorted actions.” Cai Qi’s “entering the mind, heart, and soul” culture of loyalty pledges is a typical example.

The previous article called for “uprooting erroneous ideas,”

this one is even harsher. This is a direct and decisive show of force, unafraid of a complete breakdown in relations, a fight to the death rather than a gentleman. If this can’t be contained, what will the next article be? They’ll probably just hang Xi Jinping on a lamppost.

The whole article is brimming with murderous intent.

They even deliberately mention Fengzeyuan (a famous Chinese residential complex in Beijing). Didn’t Xi Jinping himself say he works at Chunyizhai (a private study) in Fengzeyuan?

The US Reaches Tariff Agreements with Japan, the Philippines, Indonesia, and Other Asia-Pacific Countries

On July 22, 2025, US President Donald Trump announced tariff agreements with Japan, the Philippines, and Indonesia, marking the initial success of Trump’s trade policy in the Asia-Pacific region. These agreements, finalized before the August 1 deadline, reflect Trump’s strategy of using tariff threats to push through bilateral negotiations. The Japanese agreement reduced tariffs from 25% to 15% and pledged $550 billion in investment in the US (90% of profits going to the US), and opened its automobile, truck, and agricultural markets.

Trump stated on Tuesday, Eastern Time, that an agreement had been reached on a uniform 15% tariff on Japanese imports. Trump also called the US-Japan agreement the largest trade deal in history.

On Tuesday evening, Trump posted on the social media platform “TruthSocial,” saying, “We have just completed a massive deal with Japan, possibly the largest deal ever. Under my direction, Japan will invest $550 billion in the United States, with the U.S. receiving 90% of the profits. This deal will create hundreds of thousands of jobs. There has never been a deal like this before.”

Trump added that perhaps more importantly, American cars, trucks, rice, and some agricultural products will have freer access to the Japanese market.

Japan’s Minister of Economic Revitalization, Akazawa Ryosuke, who led the negotiations, posted on social media on the same day, stating, “Mission accomplished.” Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba welcomed the agreement. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, in an interview with reporters at the Prime Minister’s Official Residence on the morning of the 23rd (Japan time), said, “This time, regarding the Japan-U.S. tariff measures, President Trump and I reached an agreement. For our core industry – automobiles and auto parts – both sides agreed to halve the additional 25% tariff imposed since April of this year, adjusting it to 15% along with the existing rate. We are the first in the world to achieve an unrestricted reduction in tariffs on automobiles and auto parts.”

Ishiba also pointed out, “Regarding reciprocal tariffs, it was originally expected that Japan’s tariff rate would be raised to 25%, but we successfully limited it to 15%. This is the lowest level reached to date among countries with a trade surplus with the U.S.” Now that the tariffs can no longer be completely eliminated,

Japan says that compared to other countries, this is the best possible outcome.

The Philippines has agreed to zero tariffs on imports of US goods and impose a 19% tariff on exports to the US, slightly lower than the originally planned 20%. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. arrived in Washington on Sunday for a three-day visit, focusing on trade and security cooperation. During his time in Washington, he held separate talks with Trump, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Marcos Jr. called the agreement a “major achievement.”

Marcos’ three-day visit underscores the importance of the alliance between the two treaty partners, the US and the Philippines. This visit comes at a time of increasing Chinese assertiveness in the South China Sea and repeated clashes between Manila and Beijing in the region.

Indonesia has agreed to eliminate 99% of its tariff barriers on US goods, while the US will impose a 19% tariff on Indonesian goods, far lower than the originally planned 32%. These agreements not only eased trade tensions but also strengthened US-Philippine military cooperation and opened markets for US industries (such as energy and agriculture), highlighting Trump’s “tariff-for-market” negotiating tactic. Taiwan also sought to deepen Taiwan-US economic and trade relations in the fourth round of negotiations, indicating that Asia-Pacific countries generally prefer to avoid higher tariffs through compromise.

Domestic affairs are decided by Bessenter, foreign affairs by Rubio.

No matter how much everyone disliked these tariffs, Bessenter has now made it happen.

Initially, they ridiculed how the US could possibly negotiate with so many countries in just a few months.

Where there’s a will, there’s a way; Bessenter has basically secured the deal, and the overall situation is settled.

The sudden softening of the Chinese Foreign Ministry’s attitude.

At the same time, the Chinese Foreign Ministry’s attitude towards the US has undergone a significant shift. On July 22, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun, responding to US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s comments regarding China’s purchases of Russian and Iranian oil, did not refute or protest, but instead stated, “We hope the US will work with China to implement the consensus reached by the two heads of state, enhance consensus through dialogue and communication, reduce misunderstandings, strengthen cooperation, and promote the stable development of China-US relations.” This contrasts sharply with China’s usual hardline diplomatic stance, which sometimes backfires. Furthermore, China’s cancellation of its investigation into DuPont further demonstrates its intention to ease tensions. He Lifeng, a member of the Politburo of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, will visit Sweden from July 27-30 for trade talks with the US, continuing the framework established in London in June, indicating China’s intention to resolve trade frictions through consultation. Politics

Possible Reasons and Speculations

The softening of China’s diplomatic tone may be related to multiple factors.

First, the tariff agreements between the US and Asia-Pacific countries have created an encirclement effect. The compromises made by Japan, the Philippines, and Indonesia have weakened China’s influence in the regional economy, forcing it to adjust its strategy to avoid isolation.

It’s estimated that China has also heard rumors that the US is about to reach trade agreements with multiple countries.

China also has its own intelligence system.

Secondly, Bessenter’s mention of extending the tariff reduction deadline in mid-August and discussing Chinese oil purchases suggests that the US might use sanctions as leverage to exert pressure. China did not refute this, possibly because it did not want to escalate the conflict, especially given the highly sensitive nature of the oil issue against the backdrop of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Iranian sanctions. A moderate response may be an attempt to gain room for negotiation.

Thirdly, internal pressure may lead to compromise: the investigations of Miao Hua and He Weidong, Cai Qi’s involvement in corruption cases, and the intensified power struggle within the Party, along with reports of a secret meeting in early August where Bessenter mentioned replacing the General Secretary, may force the Chinese leadership to seek external stability to consolidate internal stability.

The Ministry of Commerce’s news stated that He Lifeng’s talks would adhere to the principles of “mutual respect and win-win cooperation,” suggesting that China may be prepared to make concessions on trade issues. China may soon reach a trade agreement with the US.

In summary, the moderate shift in Chinese diplomacy and the arrangements for He Lifeng’s talks in Sweden indicate that a trade agreement with the US may be reached in the near future. The London framework has laid the foundation, and the talks from July 27-30 are likely to focus on tariff reductions, energy purchases, and market access. Bessant’s push to postpone the mid-August deadline indicates the US’s intention to continue negotiations rather than immediately imposing sanctions. If China compromises, it may accept some conditions (such as reducing dependence on Russian and Iranian oil) in exchange for tariff reductions or market access, similar to the model adopted by countries like Japan. However, given the unpredictable nature of Chinese diplomacy and its volatile policies, continued observation is necessary. If the moderate stance persists, an agreement may be imminent; otherwise, it may be a temporary strategic adjustment. The US is consolidating its influence in the Asia-Pacific region through a tariff agreement, and China’s softening diplomacy may be a response to external pressure and internal crises. The Swedish talks could be a turning point. If China compromises, a trade agreement may be reached; however, if its stance remains rigid, negotiations may stall. The current situation is complex, and the outcome of the talks and subsequent diplomatic developments require close attention.

The overall tariff rate imposed by the United States on Chinese goods is 55%, which is formed by the combination of several tariff rates:

Base tariff rate (25%): Originating from the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration in 2018 under Section 301 on Chinese goods, still in effect.
Fentanyl tariff (20%): Added in 2025, targeting non-medical goods such as chemical raw materials and electronic components.
Retained reciprocal tariff (10%): A punitive tariff retained by the US after the Geneva talks between the US and China in May 2025.

 Calculation formula: 25% + 20% + 10% = 55%

 Higher tariff rates for specific goods

| Electric vehicles | Up to 100% (base tariff rate + specific tariffs) |

| Semiconductor equipment | 50% additional technology blockade tariff |

| Steel and aluminum products | Actual tariff rate approximately 45% Starting in May 2025, the US will suspend some “reciprocal tariffs” for 90 days, retaining only 10%, keeping the current effective tariff rate at 55%. If negotiations break down, the suspended 24% tariff may be reinstated, raising the total tariff rate to 79%. I estimate that a final negotiated rate of 45% would be ideal, ultimately falling between 45% and 55%.

Other countries all have tariffs; it would be good if China could negotiate a slightly lower tariff.

Okay, thank you everyone.