美国一锤定音，习下台。7月政治局会议的5大看点，四中全会具体召开日期。美国推动普京习近平双下台。美国作为世界唯一超级大国的地位没有丝毫的改变

 

美国一锤定音，习下台。7月政治局会议的5大看点，四中全会具体召开日期。美国推动普京习近平双下台。美国作为世界唯一超级大国的地位没有丝毫的改变

大家好，
我把这一两天的消息，做了一个小笔记，我关注到的消息。
核心问题还是四中全会。还是习包子下台的问题。
最大的好消息，还是川普，还是美国一锤定音。
之前中共党媒香港的南华早报，奉旨放风，说川普要跟习包子见面。
大外宣就拿这件事情说事儿，
如果正式公布川普的确要跟习包子见面
那么至少说明习包子要保留国家主席，就算免掉总书记和军委主席。

可是现在川普亲口说，他不与习包子见面，
等于川普亲口宣布，之前大外宣认为习包子不会下台的所谓的重要证据。
是一个彻头彻尾的假消息。
至少从川普这里已经没法证明，习包子不会下台。
被人上屋抽梯，拿掉一个重要证据了。

所以我们就有要从这个角度分析。
第一就是，四中全会到底，有没有延期，
延期只是因为三中全会延期了，四中全会是顺延，
从三中全会到四中全会，这个时间到底有没有延期呢？

我们做小功课，先来解决这个技术性的问题。
因为普遍的看法，就是习包子不想开三中全会也不想开四中全会。
三中全会可能还没有那么明显，
现在已经很明显了，四中全会对习包子极为不利。
如果习包子还有选择的话，他肯定能拖一天是一天。
那么四中全会到底有没有延期呢。
我们看从14届到18届，中共一直比较正常。二中全会到三中全会召开
一直就是8个月，只有18届是9个月，那没差几天
三中全会到四中全会召开一直是10个月，11月。
也就是说正常的进度是二中全会到三中全会间隔8个月，
三中全会到四中全会间隔11个月。
但是19届就异常了，二中全会之后，1个月三中全会就召开了。
当时肯定也发生重大的 政治斗争，我不知道是什么政治斗争，
知道的网友可以指点我一下。

但是呢，19届三中全会到四中全会，间隔了20个月。等于
从2中全会到4中全会的间隔时间，19届也拉平了，正常了。
2中全会到4中全会一般是间隔18个月到21个月。
20届是32个月。等于延期了13个月，1年多。
但是这个延期主要是二十届二中全会到三中全会，延期了9个月。
三中全会到四中全会，也是延期，但是只是延期了4个月。

即便要把这件事情解释成习包子扛着不开四中全会，
那么三中全会习包子扛了9个月，四中全会习包子只扛了4个月。
从时间线上也可以说习包子四中全会之前的实力和三中全会之前相比，
一半都不到。

毛泽东可是把九大扛了13年不开，按照5年开一次，等于毛泽东扛了8年不开。
如果把这件事情全部解释成习包子扛着的话，
三中全会习包子扛了9个月，四中全会，习包子扛了4个月。

毛泽东扛了8年，只从这件事情来说，习包子的实力还不到毛泽东十分之一呢。
但是四中全会延期4个月，一定就是习包子扛着吗？

这个没有人知道，只能听床。
但是这些日期是客观的事情，四中全会2025年10月召开是中共公布的。

这名网友说，
中共第二十届四中全会于2025年10月13日至16日在北京举行。
大包觉得这个日期怎样？靠谱？有何含义

我的回复是
共产党真是不要脸，公布个会期，还不公布日期。
这还吞吞吐吐的，这个人说的13号到16号这不就是按照周一到周四随便找的吗？
10月份的周一到周四，一共有4个可以选择。

有预测称，美国总统唐纳德·川普与中国国家主席习近平可能以10月在庆州召开的亚太经合组织领导人会议为契机举行首脑会谈。

7月20日，香港《南华早报》援引多位消息人士言论报道称，川普很可能在APEC峰会前访华，或在APEC会期内与习近平举行会晤。据悉，习近平正计划出席APEC，而川普出席与否尚未确定。APEC峰会将于10月31日至11月1日在韩国庆州召开。

现在证明南华早报就是彻头彻尾的假消息。

美国总统唐纳德·川普表示，有关他寻求与中国国家主席习近平举行峰会的报道是错误的。两国官员正在瑞典举行贸易谈判。

川普星期二在社交媒体平台“真相社交”(Truth Social)上发帖称：“我没有在寻求任何东西！我或许会去中国，但那只会是在习主席邀请的情况下，而这个邀请已经发出了。否则的话，没有兴趣！

在川普发表上述言论之际，中美两国的代表星期二在瑞典就长期存在的贸易关税争端举行了第二天的会谈。

川普和习近平自2019年在日本大阪举行的二十国集团(G20)峰会期间会晤以来，就再也没有进行过面对面的会谈。

两国在5月同意降低对彼此进口产品征收的巨额关税。美国把关税从145%降至30%，而中国则把关税从125%降至10%。

在瑞典的会谈是在8月12日达成永久协议的最后期限之前举行的。官员们并未排除延长5月份协议有关加征关税最后期限的可能性。

川普为什么不跟习包子见面呢，
美国本来是不会参与中国的 政治，但是现在因为关税谈判。
美国不得不参与中国的政治，美国如果不知道中国谁说了算，
美国怎么谈判呢。

2024年11月，川普邀请习包子参加就职典礼，最终习包子没有参加，韩正代为参加。
2025年1月10日，华尔街日报声称川普团队邀请蔡奇参加贸易谈判。事实证明华尔街日报这是假消息，
到现在蔡奇也没有参加。
2025年6月2日，在美国保守派智库与媒体圈中极具影响力的中国问题专家章家敦，周一接受福克斯电视台访问时，引述总统川普称，担心中国政府内部发生了一些事情，认为中共总书记习近平已经丧失大权。大家注意，这不是章家敦说的，而是章家敦说，这是川普说的。
2025年6月5日晚，美国总统川普同习包子通电话。
最新就是，2025年7月28日，川普宣传不会与习包子见面

起码用川普要与习包子见面来证明习包子大权在握这个事实已经不成立了。
其实这是中共党媒南华早报放出的假消息，然后大外宣循环引用。
这就属于循环论证。
用一次假消息在证明，现在已经被打脸了。

川普的表态，涉及到中美博弈。
要放在中美博弈和俄乌战争这个大背景来看，这件事情。

四中全会也是川普的筹码，或者说美国的筹码。

中美瑞典经贸会谈结束，根据会谈共识，双方将继续推动已暂停的美方对等关税24%部分以及中方反制措施展期90天。中国国务院副总理何立峰说，下一步要深化对话磋商，不断争取更多双赢结果。

也就是说把美中关税休战从2025年8月12日延期到11月12月。
这个很明显就是要拖过四中全会。
就是说这件事情再拖着有什么意思。
难道11月再拖3个月拖到明年2月吗？
中国倒是想无限期拖下去，关键有意思吗？美国能同意吗？
拖一次行，第二次美国还能同意吗？
那不就说明
四中全会中国会有重大的变化，足以影响贸易谈判的结果。
不然拖着没意思啊，时间也不站在中国这一边，
欧盟和日本已经和美国达成协议了。
等待墨西哥和加拿大也和美国达成协议了。中国就完全被动了。

从外交上，中国一共还有两张牌，一张是稀土牌，一张是俄乌外交。

我们看这是法国广播电台网站的文章
不希望俄国战败 王毅说了实话
“中国不希望看到俄罗斯在乌克兰失败”，南华早报周四披露的王毅告诉欧盟外交负责人这句话。
这不又是论证吗？南华早报就是中共党媒，法广就是大外宣，你转发中共党媒南华早报的
说王毅说了实话，王毅是共产党员，共产党员能说实话吗？

这不是我的观点这是多名国际专家的观点。
中国既不希望，俄国战败也不俄国战胜
中国希望俄乌战争永远持续下去，中国可以大发国难财，大发战争财。
多位国际专家都是这样的观点，
王毅没有说实话，王毅只说了一半。
王毅为什么这么说，不就是在讹诈欧洲吗？
王毅作为一名中国的职业外交官，他怎么可能跟欧洲说实话呢。
这不就是东大国某些人最擅长的便宜两头占吗？

也就是说中国最大的战略目的就是要钱，中国要打发战争财，要钱这事儿就好办。

川普说：对普京非常失望，我将缩短给他的50天期限
川普本月早些时候设定了50天的最后期限，并称，如果俄罗斯不结束与乌克兰的敌对行动，将对其实施严厉的经济制裁。 川普曾表示，将对俄征收100%的关税
川普说：普京必须在10至12天内同意停火

川普的底气来自哪里呢？
美国财政部长贝森特说，中国8月初将有一个相当于选举新教皇的秘密会议
这是贝森特的原话，可以有不同的解读。
现在川普所说的这个10到12天的期限是不是和美国财政部长贝森特所说的中国的秘密会议
时间线完全吻合。
一共就三个国家在博弈，美国，中国，俄国。
川普想要实现俄乌停火的重要目标，就要打掉普京的重大外援，不要脸的中共。

中国既不希望，俄国战败，也不俄国战胜 ，希望永远大发战争财。
这里面不就存在一个现实的交易，就是美国降低一定的中国关税，换取中国停止对普京的援助。

会不会发生不知道，但是很明显存在这种现实的可能性。

最近发生的国际事件表明美国作为世界上唯一的超级大国地位
没有丝毫的动摇
摆平印巴冲突：48小时内促成停火：在2025年5月，印巴因克什米尔地区爆发严重军事冲突，美国副总统万斯与国务卿卢比奥迅速介入，与印巴高层展开密集对话，最终促成双方在中立地点启动谈判。

摆平柬埔寨—泰国冲突，川普总统电话促成停火：2025年7月，柬泰边境冲突升级，美国总统川普分别致电两国领导人，明确表示“如果不停火，美国将拒绝贸易协议”，迫使双方迅速达成停火协议。

中国天天吹东南亚是中国的后院，是，中国在东南亚抓民运人士是特别有本事。
真的遇到事儿了，柬埔寨和泰国冲突，中国摆得平吗？
中国摆不平啊，中国天天吹对北韩的影响力大。中国控制的了金正恩吗？
控制不了啊，遇到事儿还得美国出面摆平

美国已经公开演戏画面，美国有预案。
金正恩如果不老实，还得美国出手。

摆平英、欧、日关税：规则制定者与利益分配者

• 统一关税框架达成：2025年7月，美国与欧盟、日本分别达成协议，将原定高达30%的关税统一下调至15%，避免贸易战升级。

中国这些五毛嘲笑美国和慈禧太后一样对11国开战。
美国根本就不是想慈禧太后一样对11国开战。
美国对50多个主要国家展开贸易战，那又怎么样美国赢了。
普京也得被美国摆平，美国就是有这个实力。

所以，美国政府的二号人物仅次于国务卿鲁比奥的美国财政部贝森特，这句话绝对不是随便说说的。
中国内部也完全在呼应这个事情

这名网友说，
没有了“二四四二” 说明习包子下台了，新的人事已定，所以能开四中了。 9.3 就是给习包子一个面子，退休前的赏赐。

我的回复是
我们对比以两次 政治局会议的内容，就能知道中国是如何呼应美国财政部长贝森特的说法。

我给大家找的是2020年9月28日的政治局会议作为对比，
因为这次政治局会议说的是十五五，所以我们对比十四五。

习近平表忠语调的显著降调成为一个引人注目的变化。2020年的会议明确指出，“中央委员会、中央政治局及其常委会的组成人员要带头执行党章和《条例》等党内法规，带头增强‘四个意识’、坚定‘四个自信’、做到‘两个维护’”，并强调这是“坚定维护以习近平同志为核心的党中央权威和集中统一领导的必然要求”，充分彰显了习近平个人权威的巅峰状态。这一高调表忠的语境，伴随《中央委员会工作条例》的制定，旨在通过党内法规巩固其领导地位，尤其是在疫情后复苏的背景下，稳定民心和军心是首要任务。然而，2025年的会议却，组别提及这一段话，代之以“保持战略定力”“集中力量办好自己的事”等较为集体化的表述，语调明显降调。
的确也说了一遍习核心，但是十四五的时候说了两遍习核心还有2442.
这个差的太远了，力度只剩下了三分之一了。

这种变化可能暗示习近平下台已内定，降调的表忠语调或许是为习近平“光荣退场”造势，旨在减少下台后可能引发的政治反弹，同时为接班人减轻因过度个人忠诚带来的压力。

另一方面，这一降调还可能掩盖了内部派系斗争的激烈程度。2025年的会议强调“战略定力”和“办好自己的事”，回避了对习近平个人权威的直接强化，这与胡春华或江派通过经济政策和军方动荡，比如张又侠的潜在角色施压的背景相呼应。
而且把马列毛邓三个代表 科学发展观全都拿出来压着习包子。

习近平下台或许是派系妥协的结果，“战略定力”的反复提及可能不仅是对国际孤立，比如美国关税威胁的回应，也是安抚地方派系、掩盖清洗行动，比如苗华被查引发的紧张局势的烟幕。
战略一个词提了5遍

相比之下，2020年的会议通过“四个意识”“两个维护”要求中央委员，全体 政治局成员效忠习近平，显示其对派系挑战，比如李克强派系的压制，党内团结是当时的核心议题，没怎么有下台迹象。

这一次政治局会议强调
要扩大高水平对外开放，稳住外贸外资基本盘。帮助受冲击较大的外贸企业，强化融资支持
这明显都是短期稳盘的措施，比如对外贸企业融资支持
不可能永远支持啊。

相反呢2020年十四五规划的时候，虽然有疫情的冲击，
那时候虽然有疫情，但是疫情效果还没有完全显现，劲儿还没上来呢。
还在吹牛呢，什么以习包子同志为核心的党中央审时度势，砥砺前行，跃上新的大台阶，重大措施。
牛得不行了，现在完全没脾气了，开始短期融资了。

总结一下
2025年7月30日政治局会议
第一是没有2442而2020年9月28日政治局会议，十四五规划有2442
第二是只有一个习核心，十四五那次有两个
第三是马列毛邓江胡力压习包子，
第四是提了5个战略/或者战略定力，中共就是缺什么嚷嚷什么，
反着理解就是中共可能有重大的战略调整。
第五是强调对外贸企业融资，这都是短期的措施。

完全呼应了美国财政部长贝森特的说法，中国可能有重大的变化。

而且6月的政治局会议政治局委员新疆党委书记马兴瑞下台了。
而7月的政治局会议，应该会有人事调整，暂时还没有公布，两三天之内再看吧。

好的，谢谢大家。

英文翻译

The US has delivered the final blow: Xi Jinping steps down. Five key points to watch at the July Politburo meeting, and the specific date for the Fourth Plenary Session. The US is pushing for the joint resignation of Putin and Xi Jinping. The US’s status as the world’s sole superpower remains unchanged.

Hello everyone,

I’ve made a short note of the news I’ve been following over the past day or two.

The core issue remains the Fourth Plenary Session. It’s still about Xi Jinping stepping down.

The biggest good news is still Trump, and the US has delivered the final blow.

Previously, the South China Morning Post, the CCP’s official media in Hong Kong, was instructed to leak information that Trump would meet with Xi Jinping.

The CCP’s propaganda machine used this as a pretext,

if it were officially announced that Trump would indeed meet with Xi Jinping,

it would at least indicate that Xi Jinping would retain his position as President, even if he were removed from the positions of General Secretary and Chairman of the Central Military Commission.

But now Trump himself has said that he will not meet with Xi Jinping,

which is tantamount to Trump personally announcing that the so-called important evidence that the CCP’s propaganda machine believed Xi Jinping would not step down is,

completely fake news.

At least from Trump’s perspective, it’s no longer possible to prove that Xi Jinping won’t step down.

He’s been pulled away from his position, removing a crucial piece of evidence.

Therefore, we need to analyze this from this angle.

First, was the Fourth Plenary Session actually postponed?

Was the postponement simply because the Third Plenary Session was postponed, and the Fourth Plenary Session was simply a continuation of that?

Was there actually a time gap between the Third and Fourth Plenary Sessions?

Let’s do some preliminary research and address this technical issue first.

Because the general consensus is that Xi Jinping didn’t want to hold either the Third or Fourth Plenary Session.

The Third Plenary Session might not have been so obvious,

but now it’s very clear that the Fourth Plenary Session is extremely unfavorable to Xi Jinping.

If Xi Jinping still had a choice, he would definitely try to delay as long as possible.

So, was the Fourth Plenary Session actually postponed?

We can see that from the 14th to the 18th National Congresses, the CCP has generally acted relatively normally. The interval between the Second and Third Plenary Sessions of the 18th Central Committee was consistently 8 months, except for the 18th Central Committee which had a 9-month interval (not much difference). The interval between the Third and Fourth Plenary Sessions was consistently 10 or 11 months. In other words, the normal schedule was an 8-month interval between the Second and Third Plenary Sessions, and an 11-month interval between the Third and Fourth Plenary Sessions.

However, the 19th Central Committee was unusual; the Third Plenary Session was held only one month after the Second Plenary Session.

There must have been significant political struggles at that time, but I don’t know what those struggles were.

Could someone who knows please enlighten me? (City and Local Guide)

However, the interval between the Third and Fourth Plenary Sessions of the 19th Central Committee was 20 months. This means that the 19th Central Committee leveled out the interval from the Second to the Fourth Plenary Session, making it normal.

The interval between the Second and Fourth Plenary Sessions is generally 18 to 21 months.

The 20th Central Committee’s interval was 32 months, meaning it was delayed by 13 months, more than a year.

However, this postponement mainly refers to the period from the Second Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee to the Third Plenary Session, which was delayed by nine months.

The period from the Third Plenary Session to the Fourth Plenary Session was also delayed, but only by four months.

Even if we interpret this as Xi Jinping deliberately delaying the Fourth Plenary Session,

he delayed the Third Plenary Session for nine months, but only four months for the Fourth Plenary Session.

Chronologically, Xi Jinping’s power before the Fourth Plenary Session was less than half that before the Third Plenary Session.

Mao Zedong delayed the Ninth National Congress for 13 years; if it’s held every five years, that’s equivalent to Mao Zedong delaying it for eight years.

If we interpret this entirely as Xi Jinping deliberately delaying,

he delayed the Third Plenary Session for nine months, and the Fourth Plenary Session for four months.

Mao Zedong delayed for eight years; based solely on this, Xi Jinping’s power is less than one-tenth of Mao Zedong’s.

But does the four-month delay of the Fourth Plenary Session necessarily mean that Xi Jinping deliberately delayed it?

Nobody knows for sure; we can only speculate.

However, these dates are objective facts. The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee, to be held in October 2025, was announced by the CCP.

This netizen said,

The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee will be held in Beijing from October 13th to 16th, 2025.

What do you think of this date? Is it reliable? What does it mean?

My reply is:

The Communist Party is shameless. They announce the meeting schedule but not the specific date.

They’re being so hesitant. Isn’t the date of the 13th to 16th just randomly chosen from Monday to Thursday?

There are four Mondays to Thursdays in October to choose from.

Some predict that US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping may hold a summit meeting at the APEC Leaders’ Meeting in Gyeongju in October.

On July 20th, the Hong Kong-based South China Morning Post, citing multiple sources, reported that Trump is likely to visit China before the APEC summit or meet with Xi Jinping during the APEC meeting. It is reported that Xi Jinping is planning to attend APEC, while Trump’s attendance is uncertain. The APEC summit will be held in Gyeongju, South Korea, from October 31 to November 1.

It has now been proven that the South China Morning Post’s report was completely fake news.

US President Donald Trump stated that reports about him seeking a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping are incorrect. Officials from both countries are currently holding trade talks in Sweden.

Trump posted on the social media platform Truth Social on Tuesday: “I’m not looking for anything! I might go to China, but only if President Xi invites me, and that invitation has been extended. Otherwise, no interest!”

Trump’s remarks came as representatives from the US and China held their second day of talks in Sweden on Tuesday regarding the long-standing trade tariff dispute.

Trump and Xi have not held face-to-face talks since their meeting at the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan in 2019.

The two countries agreed in May to reduce massive tariffs on each other’s imports. The US reduced its tariffs from 145% to 30%, while China reduced them from 125% to 10%.

The talks in Sweden were held before the August 12 deadline for a permanent agreement. Officials have not ruled out the possibility of extending the May agreement’s deadline for additional tariffs.

Why doesn’t Trump meet with Xi Jinping? The US wouldn’t normally get involved with China. Politics, but now because of tariff negotiations.

The US is forced to get involved in Chinese politics. If the US doesn’t know who’s in charge in China,

how can the US negotiate?

In November 2024, Trump invited Xi Jinping to his inauguration ceremony, but Xi Jinping did not attend; Han Zheng attended in his place.

On January 10, 2025, the Wall Street Journal claimed that Trump’s team invited Cai Qi to participate in trade negotiations. This proved to be false; Cai Qi has not yet participated.

On June 2, 2025, Gordon Chang, a highly influential China expert in conservative think tanks and media circles in the US, quoted President Trump in an interview with Fox News on Monday as saying he was worried… Some things have happened within the Chinese government that suggest General Secretary Xi Jinping has lost power. Note that this isn’t Gordon Chang’s statement, but rather Trump’s.

On the evening of June 5, 2025, US President Trump spoke with Xi Jinping by phone.

The latest development is that on July 28, 2025, Trump announced he would not meet with Xi Jinping.

At least, the claim that Trump’s planned meeting with Xi Jinping proves Xi’s continued power is no longer valid.

This is actually fake news released by the CCP’s state media, the South China Morning Post, and then repeatedly cited by its external propaganda apparatus.

This constitutes circular reasoning.

Using fake news to prove something has now been proven wrong.

Trump’s statement involves… And this relates to the US-China rivalry.

This matter needs to be viewed within the broader context of the US-China rivalry and the Russia-Ukraine war.

The Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th CPC Central Committee is also a bargaining chip for Trump, or rather, for the United States.

The US-China-Sweden trade talks have concluded. According to the consensus reached, both sides will continue to push for a 90-day extension of the suspended 24% of the US’s retaliatory tariffs and China’s countermeasures. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng stated that the next step is to deepen dialogue and consultation, and continuously strive for more win-win results.

In other words, the US-China tariff truce is being extended from August 12, 2025, to November or December.

This is clearly an attempt to drag things out until after the Fourth Plenary Session.

What’s the point of delaying this any longer?

Could it be that…? Will it drag on for another three months, until February next year?

China might want to drag it out indefinitely, but is it even worthwhile? Will the US agree?

It might work once, but will the US agree a second time?

That would mean
the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th CPC Central Committee will bring significant changes to China, enough to influence the outcome of trade negotiations.

Otherwise, dragging it out is pointless; time isn’t on China’s side.

The EU and Japan have already reached agreements with the US.

We’re waiting for Mexico and Canada to reach agreements with the US as well. Then China will be completely passive.

Diplomatically, China still has two cards to play: rare earths and Russia-Ukraine diplomacy.

We see this article on the website of Radio France Internationale (RFI) that they don’t want Russia to lose. Wang Yi Speaks the Truth

“China does not want to see Russia fail in Ukraine,” the South China Morning Post reported on Thursday, quoting Wang Yi’s statement to the EU’s foreign policy chief.

Isn’t this just another argument? The South China Morning Post is a CCP-run media outlet, and RFI is a major external propaganda machine. You’re forwarding a statement from the CCP-run South China Morning Post saying Wang Yi spoke the truth? Wang Yi is a Communist Party member; can a Communist Party member speak the truth?

This isn’t just my opinion; it’s the opinion of several international experts.

China neither wants Russia to be defeated nor to win.

China hopes the Russia-Ukraine war will continue indefinitely so China can profit from the national crisis and the war.

Several international experts share this view.

Wang Wang Yi didn’t tell the truth; he only told half the story.

Why did Wang Yi say that? Isn’t it just blackmailing Europe?

As a career Chinese diplomat, how could Wang Yi tell the truth to Europe?

Isn’t this exactly the kind of double-dealing that some people in the Eastern Powers are best at?

In other words, China’s biggest strategic objective is to get money. China wants to profit from the war, and getting money is easy.

Trump said: “Very disappointed with Putin, I will shorten his 50-day deadline.”

Trump set a 50-day deadline earlier this month, stating that if Russia does not end its hostilities with Ukraine, he will impose severe economic sanctions. Trump previously stated he would impose 100% tariffs on Russia.

Trump said: Putin must agree to ceasefire cities and local guidelines within 10 to 12 days.

Where does Trump’s confidence come from?

US Treasury Secretary Bessenter said that China will hold a secret meeting in early August, equivalent to electing a new pope.

This is Bessenter’s original statement, which can be interpreted in different ways.

Does Trump’s 10 to 12-day deadline perfectly match the timeline of the secret meeting in China mentioned by US Treasury Secretary Bessenter?

There are only three countries at play: the US, China, and Russia.

To achieve the crucial goal of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Trump needs to eliminate Putin’s major external supporter, the shameless CCP.

China neither wants Russia to be defeated nor to be defeated. They hope to profit immensely from war forever.

There’s a real-world trade-off involved: the US lowering tariffs on Chinese goods in exchange for China halting aid to Putin.

Whether this will happen is unknown, but the possibility is clear.

Recent international events demonstrate that the US’s status as the world’s sole superpower remains unshaken. Resolving the India-Pakistan conflict: A ceasefire was brokered within 48 hours: In May 2025, a serious military conflict erupted between India and Pakistan over the Kashmir region. US Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Rubio quickly intervened, engaging in intensive dialogue with high-level officials from both sides, ultimately facilitating negotiations to begin at a neutral location.

Resolving the Cambodia-Thailand conflict: President Trump’s phone call facilitated a ceasefire: In July 2025, the border conflict between Cambodia and Thailand escalated. US President Trump called the leaders of both countries, clearly stating that “if there is no ceasefire, the US will reject the trade agreement,” forcing both sides to quickly reach a ceasefire agreement.

China constantly boasts that Southeast Asia is its backyard. Yes, China is particularly adept at apprehending pro-democracy activists in Southeast Asia.

If a real conflict were to occur, like the Cambodia-Thailand conflict… Can China handle this?

China can’t. China boasts about its influence over North Korea every day. Can China control Kim Jong-un?

No, it can’t. The US has to step in to resolve things.

The US has already publicly demonstrated its power; it has contingency plans.

If Kim Jong-un doesn’t behave, the US will have to intervene.

Resolving tariffs with the UK, EU, and Japan: Rule-makers and beneficiaries

A unified tariff framework was reached: In July 2025, the US reached agreements with the EU and Japan respectively, reducing the originally planned 30% tariffs to 15%, avoiding a trade war. Upgrade.

These Chinese internet trolls mock the US for waging war against 11 countries like Empress Dowager Cixi.

The US is not waging war against 11 countries like Empress Dowager Cixi.

The US has launched trade wars against more than 50 major countries, and so what? The US won.

Even Putin has to be dealt with by the US; the US has that power.

Therefore, the statement by US Treasury Secretary Bessant, the second-highest-ranking official in the US government after Secretary of State Rubio, is definitely not casual.

This is also being echoed within China.

This netizen said,

The absence of “2442” means Xi Jinping has stepped down, and the new personnel have been decided, so the Fourth Plenary Session can be held. September 3rd was just giving Xi Jinping face, a reward before retirement.

My reply is,

Let’s compare the two… The content of the Politburo meeting reveals how China responded to US Treasury Secretary Bessenter’s remarks.

I’ve provided the Politburo meeting from September 28, 2020, for comparison.

Because this Politburo meeting discussed the 15th Five-Year Plan, we’re comparing it to the 14th Five-Year Plan.

The significant decrease in Xi Jinping’s tone in expressing loyalty is a noteworthy change. The 2020 meeting explicitly stated that “members of the Central Committee, the Politburo, and its Standing Committee must take the lead in implementing the Party Constitution and the Regulations, and take the lead in strengthening the ‘Four Consciousnesses,’ firming up the ‘Four Confidences,’ and achieving the ‘Two Safeguards,'” emphasizing that this is “an inevitable requirement for firmly upholding the authority of the Party Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping as its core and its centralized and unified leadership,” fully demonstrating the peak of Xi Jinping’s personal authority. This high-profile expression of loyalty, coupled with the formulation of the “Regulations on the Work of the Central Committee,” aims to consolidate his leadership position through Party regulations, especially in the context of post-pandemic recovery, where stabilizing public and military morale is paramount. The key task. However, at the 2025 meeting, while groups mentioned this phrase, it was replaced with more collective expressions such as “maintaining strategic focus” and “concentrating efforts on managing our own affairs well,” with a noticeably lower tone.

Indeed, the core leadership of Xi Jinping was mentioned once, but during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, it was mentioned twice, and there were 2442 [unclear phrase – possibly a reference to a specific number of people].

This difference is too great; the intensity has been reduced to only one-third.

This change may suggest that Xi Jinping’s downfall is already predetermined. The lowered tone of loyalty may be a way to create momentum for Xi Jinping’s “glorious exit,” aiming to reduce potential political backlash after his departure and alleviate pressure on his successor due to excessive personal loyalty.

On the other hand, this lower tone may also mask the intensity of internal factional struggles. The 2025 meeting emphasized “strategic focus” and “managing our own affairs well,” avoiding a direct reinforcement of Xi Jinping’s personal authority. This echoes the background of pressure exerted by Hu Chunhua or the Jiang faction through economic policies and military turmoil, such as the potential role of Zhang Youxia.

Furthermore, the Three Represents of Marxism-Leninism-Mao Zedong Thought were mentioned… The Scientific Outlook on Development was used to pressure Xi Jinping.

Xi Jinping’s downfall may be the result of factional compromise, and the repeated mentions of “strategic resolve” may not only reflect international isolation, such as the threat of US tariffs.