福林将军称习近平下台，王小洪和陈一新可能被免职。苗华开除军委委员。前任美国国家安全顾问背书，中国发生了政权更迭。海军参谋长李汉军也是31军提拔的？

 

福林将军称习近平下台，王小洪和陈一新可能被免职。苗华开除军委委员。前任美国国家安全顾问背书，中国发生了政权更迭。海军参谋长李汉军也是31军提拔的？

大家好，今天最大的新闻就是美国福林将军称中国发生了政权更迭，并@了美国总统川普。福林将军是川普总统第一个任期的美国国家安全顾问。现在美国国家安全顾问是由美国国务卿鲁比奥代理。其次就是苗华被开除军委委员，海军参谋长李汉军被罢免人大代表资格。把李汉军的派系搞明白，李汉军涉及到习近平的军中支柱。又把柱子给人砍到了。

福林将军还同时@了美国现任的情报总监 图尔西·加巴德，美国总统川普，美国副总统万斯，章家敦和美国国防部长海格塞斯。

我们注意美国总统川普，和副总统万斯，国防部长海格塞斯。这些人都是由外交身份的，不可能公开说习近平下台了，会引起不必要的外交纠纷。福林将军虽然退休了，就是一个民间人士。和胡锦涛温家宝一样，和新加坡总理李显龙的夫人何晶。表面上是退休了，但是之前明明是正式的官方身份。

何晶骂习近平中国没有进行任何的外交抗议。就是装孙子，就说何晶是新加坡一个普通民众而已，就没法外交抗议。福林将军现在也是一个美国的普通民众，但是何晶和福林将军真的就和美国的普通民众或者新加坡的普通民众一样吗？毕竟曾经有官方的身份，现在当权的官方不适合讲的话，由他们讲出来。其实这就是美国官方的说法，只不过美国官方没法说，只好通过别的渠道，委婉的表达。其实这也不是委婉的表达，这已经是明说了。

福林将军说，注意！中国显然正在发生权力转移。中国观察家需要密切关注中共关键成员，特别是公安部和国安部的官员被罢免。请注意，中国领导层更替的后果极为重大。

这里福林将军可能暗指王小洪和陈一新。之前就有网友说，为什么西方媒体不报道习近平丧失大权，马上要下台。那现在已经报道了。

美国前任国家安全顾问已经说了习近平要下台，总不能让川普总统来说吧。

福林将军的声明与权力转移信号

美国前国家安全顾问迈克尔·弗林将军于2025年6月27日发布声明，称中国正在发生权力转移，并@了美国总统唐纳德·川普、副总统万斯、国防部长海格塞斯、情报总监图尔西·加巴德及章家敦，引发广泛关注。作为川普首任总统任的第一任国家安全顾问，弗林虽然已经退休，但是弗林将军的官方背景赋予是弗林将军的声明一定的分量。弗林将军指出：“中国显然正在发生权力转移，中国观察家需要密切关注中共的关键成员，特别是公安部和国家安全部官员的信心丧失”，并警告领导层更替的重大后果。这一说法被解读为暗指公安部长王小洪和国家安全部长陈一新可能面临免职。弗林的民间的身份使其言论避开了官方外交渠道的约束，类似新加坡前总理李显龙夫人何晶批评习近平没有引发中国抗议的情形，反映出退休官员可以作为非正式渠道传递敏感信息。弗林将军的声明虽然并非美国官方立场，但弗林将军@多位现任高官，暗示可能反映美国政府某种默许的观点。

苗华开除军委委员的军事动荡

苗华作为中央军委委员兼政治工作部主任，因为所谓的“涉嫌严重违纪”于2024年11月被停职检查，2025年5月被罢免全国人大代表资格，2025年6月27日开除军委委员。这一事件标志着习近平亲信体系的进一步动摇。苗华曾是习近平福建派系成员，长期负责军队政治忠诚监督，苗华被抓表面上是涉及腐败，其实派系斗争，权力斗争。尤其苗华与31集团军背景的何卫东案有关。开除军委委员意味着苗华的军事影响力彻底终结，苗华派系面临清算，削弱了习近平的军中支柱，支持了权力转移的传言。

31军最后的绝唱，31军要被团灭，或者说已经团灭了。我们马上要分析海军参谋长的31军背景。31军是陆军怎么就变成海军了呢，苗华原来就是陆军也变成海军了。提拔李汉军的人，就是31军出身的，当然苗华就是31军出身的，苗华就是后期提拔李汉军。早期提拔李汉军的人还是31军出身。就绕不开31军，习近平的31军被团灭，军中支柱就完全倒台了。

这名网友说，国防部网站把第一项“高层”栏删除了，包括习近平在内的军委高层全部没了。目前，中国国防部“高层”页面已经被404。但高层子页面仍有包括习近平在哪的军事委员会委员资料页面。

也就是说，中国国防部把，网页链接删掉，主页已经没有，点不进去了。但是如果你有网址，还能直接打开那个页面。

王小洪和陈一新的潜在免职

弗林可能暗指的中国的公安部长王小洪和中国国家安全部长陈一新是习近平在政法领域的核心马仔。王小洪自2016年起掌控公安系统，陈一新则自2022年起主政国家安全部，二人被视为习近平的“刀把子”支柱。近期传言称中央军委接管公安部和国家安全部，张又侠掌军后可能清洗习派将领，X上多条帖子提及王小洪“跳船”、陈一新“失势”或被软禁。如果属实，这将标志习近平失去政法控制，失去对刀把子的控制，权力核心进一步旁落。

收拾了枪杆子之后，就要收拾刀把子，这是很自然的顺序，一个不留。留头不留发，留发不留头

十四届全国人大常委会第十六次会议王小洪仅以“国务委员”列席，没有标注公安部长头衔，或是职务调整的早期信号。陈一新缺席2025年6月23日国家安全法10周年座谈会，更添疑云。

当然，我查过了十四届全国人大常委会第十六次会议，王小洪参加了。第11次到第15次，王小洪没有参加。十四届全国人大常委会第十次会议，王小洪列席了。当时的王小洪的头衔也是国务委员，也没有写公安部长。所以王小洪是不是立刻就拿下了，这个消息还有待确认。但是早晚要拿下，蹦跶不了几天了。

中美信息传递的策略与国际影响

弗林将军的声明避开了川普、万斯、海格塞斯等现任官员的直接表态，因为公开确认习近平下台可能引发外交纠纷，损害美中关系。类似何晶批评习近平没有引发中国的抗议，中国政府将其视为“普通民众”言论，弗林将军的退休身份也使其可作为美国非官方渠道传递信息。就说新加坡总理夫人是一个普通民众，谁能相信呢？

西方媒体此前没有广泛报道习近平权力丧失，也许对中国了解不够深入，但弗林的表态打破沉默，可能反映美国情报界对华评估的转变。川普政府如果通过弗林间接发声，意在测试国际反应，同时为未来政策调整预留空间。中国领导层更替若成真，将重塑全球地缘政治，影响贸易、安全及台海局势。

我发推特说，迈克尔福林将军说中国正在发生权力转移，居然挂出来丁薛祥，陈吉宁的照片。美国的中国问题专家的水平？？呵呵

这名网友说，大包，不要笑外国人了。中共的政治，墙外中文圈的那么多大V，一个个影片点击量比你高多了，就象那个谁谁谁，都几十万点击了，他们对中共的政治也基本算是门都没入。

弗林将军的声明、苗华开除军委委员以及王小洪、陈一新可能的免职，共同指向中国权力结构正在经历剧变。苗华落马削弱习近平军中支柱，王小洪、陈一新的潜在变动则可能断了习近平的政法命脉。弗林将军的言论虽然并非官方定论，但弗林将军的背景和@高官的举动，暗示美国可能早就察觉中共高层动荡，中方“演戏”试图掩盖真相。

这名网友说，现在军委里面已经有两个军委委员和一个军委副主席被拿下，习近平真成孤家寡人了，爪牙都被打掉了，已经无法再咬人了。

这名网友说，大包，迈克尔福林将军刚在推特说中国正在发生权力转移。

收到，谢谢，居然挂出来丁薛祥，陈吉宁的照片，醉了。

这名网友说，年龄大了，跑不动了不行吗？所以不去巴西

我的回复是，您可真体贴习近平，习近平真是您亲爸爸。跟哈梅内以一样，地堡里面，手下的人想汇报工作都见不到人是吧？哈梅内以和习近平现在都属于神仙级别，没人见的着，是吧？

这名网友说，发小个锤子啊，他俩差快30岁了

宋明江是1939年的，温家宝是1942年的，两个人差3年就是发小。

我们再说一个发小，海军副司令张展南和赵克石是发小。赵克石才是31军的老大，赵克石提拔的苗华和何卫东。张展南是大连舰艇学院的院长。张展南早年提拔的海军参谋长李汉军和国防部长董军。

大家想想中国那么多城市呢，薄熙来为什么一定要去大连当市长呢？

所以习近平的海军，归根到底也是31军啊，31军真的被团灭了。下期给大家展开讲讲张展南

好的，谢谢大家。

英文翻译

General Flynn claims Xi Jinping has stepped down, and Wang Xiaohong and Chen Yixin may be dismissed. Miao Hua has been expelled from the Central Military Commission. The former US National Security Advisor endorsed the claim that a regime change has occurred in China. Was Navy Chief of Staff Li Hanjun also promoted from the 31st Army?

Hello everyone, the biggest news today is that US General Flynn claims a regime change has occurred in China and tagged US President Trump. General Flynn was President Trump’s first National Security Advisor. Currently, the US National Security Advisor is acting Secretary of State Rubio. Secondly, Miao Hua has been expelled from the Central Military Commission, and Navy Chief of Staff Li Hanjun has been removed from his position as a delegate to the National People’s Congress. Understanding Li Hanjun’s faction reveals that he was involved with a pillar of Xi Jinping’s military. And now, another pillar has been cut down.

General Flynn also tagged the current US Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, US President Trump, US Vice President Vance, Gordon Chang, and US Secretary of Defense Hagersese.

We note that US President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Secretary of Defense Hagersese… These individuals all hold diplomatic positions and cannot openly declare Xi Jinping’s resignation, as this would cause unnecessary diplomatic disputes. General Flint, though retired, is now a civilian, like Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao, and like Ho Ching, the wife of Singapore’s Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. While ostensibly retired, they previously held official positions.

Ho Ching’s criticism of Xi Jinping did not elicit any diplomatic protest from China. This is a blatant act of subservience, portraying Ho Ching as an ordinary Singaporean citizen, thus unable to issue a diplomatic protest. General Flint is now also an ordinary American citizen, but are Ho Ching and General Flint truly the same as ordinary Americans or Singaporeans? Given their former official positions, it’s inappropriate for the current ruling government to speak out, so they are the ones making these statements. This is essentially the official US narrative, only the US government cannot say it aloud and must express it indirectly through other channels. However, this is not an indirect expression; it is already explicit.

General Flint stated, “Attention! A power shift is clearly taking place in China. China observers need to closely monitor the dismissal of key CCP members, especially officials in the Ministry of Public Security and the Ministry of State Security.” Please note that the consequences of a leadership transition in China are extremely significant.

General Flynn here may be alluding to Wang Xiaohong and Chen Yixin. Previously, some netizens questioned why Western media didn’t report on Xi Jinping’s loss of power and imminent resignation. Now they have.

The former US National Security Advisor has already stated that Xi Jinping will step down; it’s not appropriate for President Trump to say so.

General Flynn’s Statement and Signals of Power Transition: On June 27, 2025, former US National Security Advisor Michael Flynn issued a statement claiming a power transition was underway in China, tagging US President Donald Trump, Vice President Vance, Secretary of Defense Hagersese, Director of Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, and Gordon Chang, drawing widespread attention. As Trump’s first National Security Advisor during his first term as president, Flynn, though retired, carries considerable weight due to his official background. General Flynn stated, “A power transition is clearly underway in China, and China observers need to closely monitor the loss of confidence among key members of the CCP, particularly officials in the Ministry of Public Security and the Ministry of State Security,” and warned of the significant consequences of a leadership transition. This statement has been interpreted as an allusion to the potential dismissal of Public Security Minister Wang Xiaohong and State Security Minister Chen Yixin. Flynn’s civilian status allowed his remarks to bypass official diplomatic channels, similar to the situation where former Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong’s wife, Ho Ching, criticized Xi Jinping without triggering a Chinese protest, reflecting the ability of retired officials to transmit sensitive information through informal channels. While General Flynn’s statement does not represent the official US position, his tagging of several current high-ranking officials suggests a possible tacit approval from the US government.

The military turmoil surrounding Miao Hua’s removal from the Central Military Commission: Miao Hua, as a member of the Central Military Commission and director of the Political Work Department, was suspended from his duties in November 2024 for alleged “serious disciplinary violations,” removed from his position as a delegate to the National People’s Congress in May 2025, and expelled from the Central Military Commission on June 27, 2025. This event signifies a further weakening of Xi Jinping’s close-knit faction. Miao Hua was a member of Xi Jinping’s Fujian faction and long responsible for supervising the political loyalty of the military. While his arrest appears to involve corruption, it is in fact a power struggle within factions, particularly related to the case of He Weidong, who has ties to the 31st Group Army. The expulsion of Miao Hua from the Central Military Commission signifies the complete end of his military influence. His faction faces purge, weakening Xi Jinping’s pillar within the military and supporting rumors of a power shift.

This is the final swan song of the 31st Army; the 31st Army is about to be wiped out, or rather, it has already been wiped out. We will soon analyze the background of the Navy Chief of Staff from the 31st Army. How did the 31st Army, originally from the Army, become part of the Navy? Miao Hua, originally from the Army, has also become part of the Navy. Those who promoted Li Hanjun were from the 31st Army, and Miao Hua himself was from the 31st Army; he promoted Li Hanjun later. Those who promoted Li Hanjun earlier were also from the 31st Army. It’s unavoidable to talk about the 31st Army. With the 31st Army wiped out, Xi Jinping’s pillar within the military has completely collapsed.

This netizen said that the Ministry of National Defense website has deleted the first “High-Level” section , including all the high-ranking members of the Central Military Commission, including Xi Jinping. Currently, the Ministry of National Defense’s “High-Level” page is a 404 error. However, the subpage for “High-Level” still includes information on Central Military Commission members, including where Xi Jinping is listed.

In other words, the Chinese Ministry of National Defense has removed the webpage link; the homepage is no longer accessible. However, if you have the URL, you can still directly open the page.

The potential removal of Wang Xiaohong and Chen Yixin: Flynn may be alluding to Wang Xiaohong, the Minister of Public Security, and Chen Yixin, the Minister of State Security, who are Xi Jinping’s core henchmen in the political and legal field. Wang Xiaohong has controlled the public security system since 2016, while Chen Yixin has headed the Ministry of State Security since 2022. Both are considered pillars of Xi Jinping’s “knife handle” (political and legal power). Recent rumors suggest that the Central Military Commission has taken over the Ministry of Public Security and the Ministry of State Security, and that Zhang Youxia’s move to take command of the military may lead to a purge of Xi’s faction of generals. Multiple posts on social media mention Wang Xiaohong’s “jumping ship” and Chen Yixin’s “loss of power” or house arrest. If true, this would signify Xi Jinping’s loss of control over the political and legal system, his loss of control over the “knife handle,” and a further shift in the core of power.

After cleaning up the gun, it’s time to clean up the knife handle—this is a natural order, leaving no one behind. “Keep your head, lose your hair; keep your hair, lose your head.”

At the 16th meeting of the 14th National People’s Congress Standing Committee, Wang Xiaohong attended only as a “State Councilor,” without being listed as Minister of Public Security, which may be an early signal of a potential job reshuffle. Chen Yixin’s absence from the symposium commemorating the 10th anniversary of the National Security Law on June 23, 2025, adds further uncertainty.

Of course, I checked, and Wang Xiaohong attended the 16th meeting of the 14th National People’s Congress Standing Committee. He did not attend the 11th to 15th meetings. He attended the 10th meeting of the 14th National People’s Congress Standing Committee as an observer. At that time, Wang Xiaohong’s title was also State Councilor, without mentioning Minister of Public Security. Therefore, whether Wang Xiaohong will be removed immediately remains to be confirmed. But he will be removed sooner or later; his time is limited.

The Strategy of US-China Information Transmission and its International Impact: General Flynn’s statement avoided direct statements from current officials such as Trump, Vance, and Hagersese, because publicly confirming Xi Jinping’s resignation could trigger diplomatic disputes and damage US-China relations. Similar to Ho Ching’s criticism of Xi Jinping, which failed to provoke protests in China, with the Chinese government treating it as the opinion of an “ordinary citizen,” General Flynn’s retired status also allows him to serve as a non-official channel for US information dissemination. Who would believe that the Singapore Prime Minister’s wife is an ordinary citizen?

Western media had previously not widely reported on Xi Jinping’s loss of power, perhaps due to a lack of in-depth understanding of China. However, Flynn’s statement broke the silence and may reflect a shift in the US intelligence community’s assessment of China. If the Trump administration uses Flynn to indirectly speak out, it is intended to test international reactions and simultaneously leave room for future policy adjustments. If a change of leadership in China does occur, it will reshape global geopolitics, affecting trade, security, and the situation across the Taiwan Strait.

I tweeted that General Michael Flynn said a power transition is taking place in China, and he even posted photos of Ding Xuexiang and Chen Jining. What is the level of American China experts? Haha.

This netizen said, “Hey, don’t laugh at foreigners. There are so many influential figures in the Chinese-speaking world outside the Great Firewall whose videos have far more views than yours. Like so-and-so, who has hundreds of thousands of views, they basically have no understanding of CCP politics.” General Flynn’s statement, Miao Hua’s removal from the Central Military Commission, and the potential dismissals of Wang Xiaohong and Chen Yixin all point to a dramatic shift in China’s power structure. Miao Hua’s downfall weakens Xi Jinping’s pillar within the military, while the potential changes in Wang Xiaohong and Chen Yixin could sever Xi’s political and legal lifeline. While General Flynn’s remarks are not an official conclusion, his background and the actions of tagging high-ranking officials suggest that the US may have long been aware of the turmoil within the CCP’s top leadership, and that China is “acting” to cover up the truth.

This netizen said, “Now, two members and one vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission have been removed. Xi Jinping is truly isolated; his claws have been knocked out, and he can no longer attack.”

This netizen said, “Hey, General Michael Flynn just tweeted that a power shift is happening in China.”

“Received, thanks. They even posted photos of Ding Xuexiang and Chen Jining. Unbelievable.”

This netizen said, “They’re too old to run anymore, is that not good enough?” So he didn’t go to Brazil.

My reply was, “You’re so considerate of Xi Jinping; Xi Jinping is truly your father. Like Khamenei, he’s in a bunker, and his subordinates can’t even see him to report, right? Khamenei and Xi Jinping are now at a god-like level; nobody can see them, right?”

This netizen said, “Childhood friends my foot! They’re almost 30 years apart.”

Song Mingjiang was born in 1939, and Wen Jiabao in 1942; they’re only 3 years apart, so they’re childhood friends.

Let’s talk about another childhood friend: Navy Deputy Commander Zhang Zhannan and Zhao Keshi were childhood friends. Zhao Keshi was the head of the 31st Army, and he promoted Miao Hua and He Weidong. Zhang Zhannan was the president of the Dalian Naval Academy. Zhang Zhannan promoted Navy Chief of Staff Li Hanjun and Defense Minister Dong Jun in his early years.

Think about it, there are so many cities in China; why did Bo Xilai insist on becoming mayor of Dalian?

So Xi Jinping’s navy, in the final analysis, is the 31st Army, and the 31st Army was truly wiped out. Next time, I’ll talk more about Zhang Zhannan.

Okay, thank you everyone.