习近平失军权，权力危机全面爆发。中国荔枝价格暴跌七成。胡锦涛为什么这么墨迹？

 

习近平失军权，权力危机全面爆发。中国荔枝价格暴跌七成。胡锦涛为什么这么墨迹？

大家好，

2025年6月17日，中国荔枝价格暴跌七成，果农血本无归，消息冲上热搜。从每斤10多元跌到1元无人问津，茂名果农宁可让荔枝烂树上也不摘，批发商卖一车亏一车。这背后是习近平经济政策的彻底崩盘？产量暴增、电商乱战、物流降本，果农却哭不出泪。中南海还在“演戏”维稳，荔枝危机是否预示更大经济风暴？习近平经济还能撑多久？

2025年6月17日，热搜被“荔枝价格暴跌七成”刷屏。媒体报道，杭州勾庄水果批发市场荔枝价格崩盘：5月初一箱（5斤）火山岩荔枝180元，如今90元；6斤白糖罌荔枝仅50元。苏州南环桥市场监测显示，妃子笑荔枝批发价跌至5-5.5元/500克，白糖罌5.5-6.5元/500克，较5月暴跌70%。批发商感叹：“往年10多元一斤，现在5元多，次品更低。”

广東茂名果农在X平台痛诉，荔枝收购价从去年12元/500克跌至3元，扣除人工、农资成本，利润几近为零。部分果农放弃采摘，荔枝烂树上；批发商王先生仓库积压数十吨，称“卖一车亏一车”。 习近平经济政策下，荔枝危机是否预示更深经济裂痕？

荔枝价格暴跌七成登热搜，果农血亏，批发商绝望，这场农业危机直指习近平经济政策的失败。

1. 荔枝暴跌的表面原因：供过于求与电商乱战

专家称，荔枝价格“跳水”因产量激增与物流成本降低。2025年中国荔枝产量预计365万吨，同比暴增111%，广东、广西、海南三大产区总产量超212万吨，占总产量接近60%，增加37.5%。 妃子笑、白糖罌等主力品种供过于求，市场饱和。

什么东西到了东大国这里，都得卷死。

电商平台与社区团购加剧价格战，市民可以以“地头价”直购荔枝，平台推出“荔枝补贴”引流，压低批发价。荔枝保鲜期短，“一日色变，二日香变、三日味变”，批发商为清库存竞相降价，茂名果农排队4-5米卖1.6元/斤仍然没有收购。 部分果农将荔枝喂猪或倒地，甚至烧毁。

中国有说法谷贱伤农，这是果贱伤农

果农利润被挤压，茂名果农算账：3元/500克收购价扣除成本，远低于去年减产时的12元/500克。批发商王先生“卖一车亏一车”，冻干加工杯水车薪，提前采摘未熟果抢占市场更恶化品质。说白了，还是不正当竞争。

供过于求与电商乱战是暴跌直接原因，但背后是习近平经济政策失控的缩影。

2. 习近平经济崩盘：农业危机与体制失灵

习近平“乡村振兴”战略下，盲目扩大荔枝种植面积，没有配套市场需求预测与调控，导致2025年产量创历史新高，供需失衡。X平台批评：中南海“拍脑袋”决策，忽视果农生存。 物流降低成本，冷链优化，本来应该惠农，却因为电商压价让果农与批发商双输。

体制内腐败加剧危机。X平台热议：产地1元/斤，市面10多元/斤，中间差价被“渠道商”与“关系户”吞噬，果农与消费者双重受害。 习近平反腐只是用来争夺权力，实现三连任，没有触及农业供应链黑幕，凸显体制失灵。

荔枝暴跌反映习近平独裁统治之下，中国经济全面承压。农业危机与经济疲软叠加，果农血亏预示更大社会不满。

荔枝暴跌是习近平经济政策失误的冰山一角，农业危机暴露体制弊端，酝酿更大动荡。

2025年6月24日至27日，中共人大常委会将召开第十六次会议，审议神秘的“任免案”。习近平岌岌可危，军权崩塌，三大支柱苗华、何卫东、许其亮全军覆没。习近平国家主席宝座还能坐几天？是6月28日被官宣罢免，还是7月18日或者8月8日四中全会彻底下台？中南海权力风暴即将来袭，习近平权力宝座倒计时已开启。习近平还能撑多久？

核心背景：习近平失军权，权力危机全面爆发

2025年6月16日，新华社宣布全国人大常委会将于6月24日至27日召开第十六次会议，审议“有关任免案”和代表资格审查报告。赵乐际主持，副委员长张庆伟等出席，议程暗藏杀机。习近平已失去军权，军中三大支柱全线崩塌——苗华2024年11月被查、何卫东3月失踪、许其亮6月2日猝死。“习家军”31集团军派系瓦解，胡锦涛、胡春华，张又侠等人蠢蠢欲动。

习近平近期出访，参加哈萨克斯坦中国中亚峰会，维持“演戏”假象，但白俄删除习明泽家宴报道，表明习近平权威崩塌。彭丽媛被边控。6月24日的人大会议或成为习近平国家主席命运的审判日，四中全会（7月18日或8月8日）更可能终结习近平总书记与军委主席职务。

习近平失军权，权力根基动摇，6月24日人大会议与四中全会成为习近平下台关键节点。

6月24日人大会议：罢免习近平国家主席的惊天伏笔

6月24日至27日人大常委会审议“有关任免案”，没有具体说明对象，但是X平台热议矛头直指习近平。全国人大有权根据《宪法》第79条罢免国家主席，程序需人大常委会提请、全体代表投票通过。政治局常委赵乐际主持会议，鸿忠、王东明、肖捷等人参会，显示政治局的操控意图。

习近平军权崩塌：中央军委政治工作部主任苗华被查，定性“严重违纪违法”。军委副主席何卫东失踪，被叼查；前军委副主席许其亮猝死。31集团军派系覆灭，军方不再是习近平的坚强后盾。白俄6月9日删除习明泽报道引发体制内习近平“失权”猜测，政治局可能借6月24日会议“顺势”罢免习近平国家主席，提前为四中全会清场。

这名网友说，
“悲情”我看了其他语言版本，白通社有五六种语言可选，其他语言版本翻译的是“夸张”
我的回复是，
那不更是故意的，这是去中国访问，中文原来也是夸张，后来改成悲情的。不管怎么洗地，白俄官网原来的版本是夸张，之后改成悲情这是一个事实。再之后，直接删掉404，也是一个事实。白俄总统卢卡申科，只是知道习近平下台了。又不是卢卡申科把习近平赶下台的。卢卡申科只是一个外因，不是内因，只是我们观察中共这个黑箱的一个指标。又不是卢卡申科决定习近平是否下台。拿卢卡申科洗地也没用。

肯定也有洗地的说法，
罢免国家主席需要2/3人大代表同意，程序复杂，政治局未必冒险。但是，有可能习近平主动辞去中国国家主席，由人大任命临时的代理国家主席。反正中国人大也是橡皮图像。
任免案可能针对其他官员，比如要罢免2023年3月当选的何卫东人大代表资格。习近平近期访哈萨克斯坦，公开现身，表面权威仍在，还在演戏，6月24日未必直接罢免。

这名网友说，
国防部官网已经搜不到何卫东的新闻了。
我的回复是应该要对何卫东动手，官宣了。

6月28日官宣罢免习近平国家主席的可能性存在，因为军权丧失使习近平毫无还手之力，但政治局也可能选择低调过渡，保留习近平主席头衔到四中全会。

如果2025年6月28日没有官宣罢免习近平国家主席，习近平仍然难逃7月18日或8月8日，马上召开的四中全会的终极清算。总书记与军委主席由中央全会选举产生，四中全会可通过“辞职”或“健康原因”免除习近平职务，胡锦涛、胡春华，张又侠与习近平敌对派系已掌控局面。

苗华、何卫东、许其亮倒台标志军权归团派，31集团军派系覆灭，习近平无法翻盘。X平台称胡春华（胡派）将在四中全会接任总书记，蔡奇操控宣传封锁习近平动态（如白俄报道删除）。彭丽媛边控、习明泽曝光，显示习家失势，体制内已经视习近平为“昨日黄花”。四中全会将以“党内团结”为名，逼习近平交出总书记与军委主席。

四中全会罢免习近平总书记与军委主席的概率极高，失军权使习近平无还手之力。即便保留名誉，让习近平体面下台，习近平实际权力已经清零。

习近平失军权是下台导火索。苗华、何卫东、许其亮倒台，31集团军派系崩塌，军方不再效忠。出访抓人规律（2024-2025年苗华、何卫东、于忠福落马）显示胡锦涛或政治局操盘，习近平每次出国都成清洗窗口。彭丽媛边控、白俄报道删除，暴露政治局全面封锁习家动态，防止“托孤”或“接班”猜测。

你认为习近平6月28日会官宣被罢免国家主席吗？四中全会谁将接班？请订阅，点赞，评论区大胆预测。

这名网友说，
陕西访民代表上书胡汪的联名信，以及信中提到的政治改革要求，是人民逐渐觉醒的标志，要坚持改革开放可以以平反冤假错案为切入点，应该让人民对公平正义的希望渴求变成现实。
我的回复是，觉醒的有点晚，英国大宪章到现在已经800年，世界上大部分国家也都民主化，或者至少有一个民主化框架，装装样子，中国什么都没有。不管怎么说，提出政治改革的要求，总比不提强。

这名网友说，
大小胡怎麼還不抓緊安排人馬籌備四中全會召開呀，看得我直著急，不要耽誤大事啊
我的回复是，我们看热闹着什么急，你这入戏太深。习近平该下台，他肯定要下台，稍安勿躁。

这名网友说，
胡锦涛优柔寡断害死多少人。
我的回复是，胡锦涛就是这样的人，这世界上没有既要又要。他要是真的那么杀伐果断。三下五除二，直接习近平挂路灯。他也不会有不折腾的这种经济外交内政的路线。肯定要穷折腾。

好的，谢谢大家。

英文翻译

Xi Jinping lost his military power, and the power crisis broke out. The price of Chinese lychees plummeted by 70%. Why is Hu Jintao so slow?

Hello everyone,

On June 17, 2025, the price of Chinese lychees plummeted by 70%, and fruit farmers lost all their money. The news rushed to the hot search. From more than 10 yuan per catty to 1 yuan, no one cares about it. Maoming fruit farmers would rather let the lychees rot on the trees than pick them, and wholesalers lose money every time they sell a truck. Is this the complete collapse of Xi Jinping’s economic policy? Production has skyrocketed, e-commerce is in chaos, and logistics costs have been reduced, but fruit farmers can’t cry. Zhongnanhai is still “acting” to maintain stability. Does the lychee crisis foreshadow a bigger economic storm? How long can Xi Jinping’s economy last?

On June 17, 2025, the hot search was dominated by “lychee prices plummeted by 70%.” According to media reports, the price of lychees in Gouzhuang Fruit Wholesale Market in Hangzhou has collapsed: a box of volcanic rock lychees (5 jin) cost 180 yuan in early May, but now it costs 90 yuan; 6 jin of white sugar lychees only cost 50 yuan. Monitoring of the Suzhou Nanhuanqiao market shows that the wholesale price of Feizixiao lychees has fallen to 5-5.5 yuan/500 grams, and white sugar lychees cost 5.5-6.5 yuan/500 grams, a 70% drop from May. Wholesalers lamented: “In previous years, it was more than 10 yuan per jin, but now it is more than 5 yuan, and inferior products are even lower.”

Fruit farmers in Maoming, Guangdong complained on the X platform that the purchase price of lychees has fallen from 12 yuan/500 grams last year to 3 yuan. After deducting the cost of labor and agricultural materials, the profit is almost zero. Some fruit farmers gave up picking, and lychees rotted on the trees; wholesaler Mr. Wang’s warehouse was overstocked with dozens of tons, saying that “one truck sold loses one truck.” Under Xi Jinping’s economic policy, does the lychee crisis foreshadow a deeper economic rift?

The price of lychees plummeted by 70% and became a hot topic. Fruit farmers suffered heavy losses and wholesalers were desperate. This agricultural crisis directly pointed to the failure of Xi Jinping’s economic policies.

The superficial reason for the lychee plummet: oversupply and e-commerce chaos
Experts said that the “diving” of lychee prices was due to a surge in production and reduced logistics costs. China’s lychee production is expected to reach 3.65 million tons in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 111%. The total production of the three major production areas of Guangdong, Guangxi and Hainan will exceed 2.12 million tons, accounting for nearly 60% of the total production, an increase of 37.5%. The main varieties such as Feizixiao and Baitangbao are in oversupply and the market is saturated.

Everything that comes to Dongda will be killed.

E-commerce platforms and community group purchases have intensified price wars. Citizens can buy lychees directly at “field prices”. The platform has launched a “lychee subsidy” to attract traffic and lower wholesale prices. Lychees have a short shelf life, “the color changes in one day, the fragrance changes in two days, and the taste changes in three days”. Wholesalers are competing to lower prices to clear inventory. Maoming fruit farmers line up 4-5 meters to sell lychees at 1.6 yuan per catty, but still no one buys them. Some fruit farmers feed lychees to pigs or throw them to the ground, or even burn them.

There is a saying in China that low grain prices hurt farmers, but this is low fruit prices that hurt farmers

Fruit farmers’ profits are squeezed, and Maoming fruit farmers are doing the math: the purchase price of 3 yuan/500 grams minus the cost is far lower than the 12 yuan/500 grams when production was reduced last year. Wholesaler Mr. Wang “loses money on every truck he sells”, freeze-drying processing is a drop in the bucket, and picking unripe fruits in advance to seize the market further deteriorates the quality. To put it bluntly, it is still unfair competition.

Oversupply and e-commerce chaos are the direct causes of the plunge, but behind it is a microcosm of Xi Jinping’s out-of-control economic policies.

Xi Jinping’s economic collapse: agricultural crisis and system failure
Under Xi Jinping’s “rural revitalization” strategy, the lychee planting area was blindly expanded without supporting market demand forecasting and regulation, resulting in a record high output in 2025 and an imbalance between supply and demand. X platform criticism: Zhongnanhai made decisions “on the spur of the moment” and ignored the survival of fruit farmers. Logistics reduced costs and optimized cold chains, which should have benefited farmers, but because of the price cuts by e-commerce, fruit farmers and wholesalers both lost.

Corruption within the system exacerbated the crisis. X platform hot discussion: 1 yuan/jin in the production area, more than 10 yuan/jin in the market, the difference in the middle was swallowed up by “channel merchants” and “relationship households”, and fruit farmers and consumers suffered. Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption was only used to fight for power and achieve three consecutive terms. It did not touch on the dark side of the agricultural supply chain, highlighting the system failure.

The sharp drop in lychee prices reflects that China’s economy is under pressure under Xi Jinping’s dictatorship. The superposition of agricultural crisis and economic weakness, the blood loss of fruit farmers foreshadows greater social dissatisfaction.

The sharp drop in lychee prices is just the tip of the iceberg of Xi Jinping’s economic policy mistakes. The agricultural crisis exposes the shortcomings of the system and brews greater turmoil.

From June 24 to 27, 2025, the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress will hold its 16th meeting to review the mysterious “appointment and removal case”. Xi Jinping is in danger, his military power has collapsed, and the three pillars Miao Hua, He Weidong, and Xu Qiliang have been wiped out. How many days can Xi Jinping sit on the throne of the President? Will he be officially dismissed on June 28, or will he step down completely at the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee on July 18 or August 8? The power storm in Zhongnanhai is about to hit, and the countdown to Xi Jinping’s throne of power has begun. How long can Xi Jinping hold on?

Core background: Xi Jinping loses military power, and the power crisis breaks out

On June 16, 2025, Xinhua News Agency announced that the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress will hold its 16th meeting from June 24 to 27 to review the “relevant appointment and removal case” and the representative qualification review report. Zhao Leji presided over the meeting, and Vice Chairman Zhang Qingwei and others attended, and the agenda was full of murderous intent. Xi Jinping has lost his military power, and the three pillars of the military have collapsed across the board – Miao Hua was investigated in November 2024, He Weidong disappeared in March, and Xu Qiliang died suddenly on June 2. The 31st Group Army faction of the “Xi Family Army” has collapsed, and Hu Jintao, Hu Chunhua, Zhang Youxia and others are ready to move.

Xi Jinping recently visited and attended the China-Central Asia Summit in Kazakhstan to maintain the illusion of “acting”, but Belarus deleted the report on Xi Mingze’s family dinner, indicating that Xi Jinping’s authority has collapsed. Peng Liyuan was placed under border control. The National People’s Congress on June 24 may become the day of judgment on Xi Jinping’s fate as President of the People’s Republic of China, and the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee (July 18 or August 8) is more likely to end the positions of General Secretary Xi Jinping and Chairman of the Central Military Commission.

Xi Jinping has lost his military power, and the foundation of his power has been shaken. The National People’s Congress on June 24 and the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee have become key nodes for Xi Jinping to step down.

The NPC meeting on June 24: A shocking foreshadowing of the removal of President Xi Jinping

From June 24 to 27, the NPC Standing Committee reviewed the “appointment and removal case”. No specific targets were specified, but the hot discussion on the X platform was directed at Xi Jinping. The NPC has the right to remove the President in accordance with Article 79 of the Constitution. The procedure requires the NPC Standing Committee to propose and all representatives to vote. Zhao Leji, a member of the Political Bureau Standing Committee, presided over the meeting. Hongzhong, Wang Dongming, Xiao Jie and others attended the meeting, showing the Political Bureau’s manipulation intention.

Xi Jinping’s military power collapsed: Miao Hua, director of the Political Work Department of the Central Military Commission, was investigated and classified as “serious violations of discipline and law”. Vice Chairman of the Military Commission He Weidong disappeared and was investigated; former Vice Chairman of the Military Commission Xu Qiliang died suddenly. The 31st Group Army faction was destroyed, and the military is no longer Xi Jinping’s strong backing. Belarus’s deletion of the report on Xi Mingze on June 9 triggered speculation within the system that Xi Jinping had “lost power”. The Political Bureau may take advantage of the June 24 meeting to “take advantage of the situation” to remove President Xi Jinping and clear the venue for the Fourth Plenary Session in advance.

This netizen said, “Sadness” I looked at other language versions. BelTA has five or six languages to choose from. Other language versions translate as “exaggeration”. My reply is, “That’s even more intentional. This is a visit to China. The original Chinese version was also exaggerated, and then it was changed to sadness. No matter how to whitewash it, the original version of the Belarusian official website was exaggerated, and then it was changed to sadness. This is a fact. After that, it was directly deleted 404, which is also a fact. Belarusian President Lukashenko only knows that Xi Jinping has stepped down. It is not Lukashenko who drove Xi Jinping out of office. Lukashenko is just an external factor, not an internal factor, but just an indicator for us to observe the black box of the CCP. It is not Lukashenko who decides whether Xi Jinping will step down. It is useless to whitewash Lukashenko. There must be whitewashing sayings. The removal of the president requires the consent of 2/3 of the NPC deputies. The procedure is complicated, and the Politburo may not take risks. However, it is possible that Xi Jinping will take the initiative to resign as the President of China, and the NPC will appoint a temporary acting president. Anyway, the Chinese National People’s Congress is also an eraser image. The appointment and removal case may target other officials, such as the removal of He Weidong, who was elected in March 2023, from the NPC representative qualification. Xi Jinping recently visited Kazakhstan and appeared publicly. On the surface, his authority is still there and he is still acting. He may not be directly removed on June 24.

This netizen said,
The Ministry of National Defense’s official website can no longer find news about He Weidong.

My reply is that He Weidong should be taken action and officially announced.

There is a possibility that Xi Jinping will be officially removed from office on June 28, because the loss of military power has left Xi Jinping powerless to fight back, but the Politburo may also choose a low-key transition and retain Xi Jinping’s title of President until the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee.

If Xi Jinping is not officially removed from office on June 28, 2025, Xi Jinping will still not escape the ultimate liquidation of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee, which will be held on July 18 or August 8. The general secretary and the chairman of the CMC are elected by the Central Plenary Session. The Fourth Plenary Session can remove Xi Jinping from his post through “resignation” or “health reasons”. Hu Jintao, Hu Chunhua, Zhang Youxia and Xi Jinping’s hostile factions have taken control of the situation.

The fall of Miao Hua, He Weidong and Xu Qiliang marks the return of military power to the Youth League faction. The 31st Group Army faction has been destroyed and Xi Jinping cannot turn the tables. X platform claims that Hu Chunhua (Hu faction) will take over as general secretary at the Fourth Plenary Session. Cai Qi manipulates propaganda to block Xi Jinping’s dynamics (such as the deletion of Belarusian reports). Peng Liyuan’s border control and Xi Mingze’s exposure show that the Xi family has lost power and the system has already regarded Xi Jinping as “yesterday’s flower”. The Fourth Plenary Session will force Xi Jinping to hand over the general secretary and the chairman of the CMC in the name of “unity within the party”.

The probability of the Fourth Plenary Session removing General Secretary Xi Jinping and the chairman of the CMC is extremely high. The loss of military power has left Xi Jinping powerless to fight back. Even if the reputation is retained and Xi Jinping is allowed to step down decently, Xi Jinping’s actual power has been cleared.

Xi Jinping’s loss of military power is the fuse for his resignation. Miao Hua, He Weidong, and Xu Qiliang fell, the 31st Group Army faction collapsed, and the military no longer pledged allegiance. The pattern of arrests during visits abroad (Miao Hua, He Weidong, and Yu Zhongfu fell in 2024-2025) shows that Hu Jintao or the Politburo is in control, and Xi Jinping’s every trip abroad has become a window for cleansing. Peng Liyuan’s border control and the deletion of reports on Belarus reveal that the Politburo has completely blocked the dynamics of the Xi family to prevent speculation about “entrustment” or “succession”.

Do you think Xi Jinping will officially announce his removal as president on June 28? Who will take over at the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee? Please subscribe, like, and make bold predictions in the comment area.

This netizen said,
The joint letter from Shaanxi petitioners to Hu and Wang, as well as the political reform requirements mentioned in the letter, are signs that the people are gradually awakening. We must insist that reform and opening up can be based on the redress of unjust, false, and wrong cases, and we should make the people’s hope and desire for fairness and justice a reality.
My reply is that it is a bit late to wake up. The Magna Carta has been in place for 800 years. Most countries in the world have also been democratized, or at least have a democratic framework, but China has nothing. In any case, it is better to raise the demand for political reform than not to raise it.

This netizen said,
Why don’t Hu and Hu Jintao arrange people to prepare for the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee? It makes me anxious. Don’t delay the important things
My reply is, why are we so anxious to watch the excitement? You are too immersed in the drama. Xi Jinping should step down. He must step down. Don’t be impatient.

This netizen said,
How many people have been killed by Hu Jintao’s indecision.
My reply is that Hu Jintao is such a person. There is no such thing as having both in this world. If he is really so decisive, he will hang Xi Jinping on the street lamp in a few seconds. He will not have such a route of economic, diplomatic and domestic affairs without tossing. He must toss and turn.

Okay, thank you everyone.