四中全会的会期已经确定，习近平终于要正式滚蛋了。胡幼桃大秘林彬杨是吴官正外甥汪德和下属。那尔那茜的外公是乌兰夫马仔

 

四中全会的会期已经确定，习近平终于要正式滚蛋了。胡幼桃大秘林彬杨是吴官正外甥汪德和下属。那尔那茜的外公是乌兰夫马仔

大家好， 我们把胡幼桃，汪德和，吴官正没有说到的地方，先补充一下。
2008年12月，45岁的林彬杨任江西省新余市政府副市长。当时新余市委书记是汪德和（2006年5月 – 2010年3月），新余市长是李安泽（2008年4月 – 2010年3月）。胡幼桃的大秘林彬杨是吴官正的外甥汪德和的下属。吴官正当中纪委书记的时候，就在抓胡锦涛的人。

我们看江西省新余市市委书记，汪德和就是吴官正的外甥。钟利贵是和汪德和搭档的，钟利贵担任新余市委书记期间，汪德和是市长。钟利贵跪舔当时的中国石化九江石油化工总厂厂长覃伟中，不知道什么原因
覃伟中现在是深圳市长。潘逸阳和洪礼和都抓了。潘逸阳就是王岐山的马仔。王岐山在广东省提拔的，潘逸阳就是在王岐山担任中纪委书记期间抓的，那就是赵洪祝抓的。不是说王岐山担任中纪委书记他的人，就不能被抓。王岐山，吴官正，习近平三个人，绝对是一家人。

这位名网友说，
大包，海航那件事，贯君是否为包子之子？习惯，君王。
我的回复是
郭文贵发的贯君照片和习近平，王岐山人脸相似度都是0%。可能搞错了，或者贯君本来就是代持，他根本就不是核心圈的人。也许王岐山的下属，拿贯君的身份证，拿去用用而已。

这位名网友说，
我个人认为，贯君属捏造的虚拟人物，为了掩盖真相。
我的回复是，贯君不是虚拟人物，是真实存在的，还上过电视呢。这个上过电视的贯君和习近平和王岐山都没有生物学的关系，没有血缘关系。

这位名网友说，
请问国内这几天微博热搜一直上的那个内蒙的那尔那茜，上戏给她和她妈两代人萝卜坑招生？ 说她外公是“和平解放内蒙的功臣”？这句话是关键。
谁啊？热搜又一直上，不撤，也不说她外公/爷爷是谁？谁啊？

我的回复是，就是胡春华在操作，胡春华曾经是内蒙古党委书记。

类似这种特权阶层的信息，连日上热搜不撤，好像昨天官媒还下场了的情况，今年之前真是不多见。今年的连续有，连上热搜，就是不下。如果又是权斗原因，对老百姓的知情来说也是某种过年了。

这名网友说，
乌兰夫
这就是答案。我的回复是，我前几天刚刚分析乌兰夫是周恩来习近平派系，不是邓小平派系的，乌兰夫一直顶着邓小平法国同学的名头。我们用基本的时间线来判断就可以了，乌兰夫是1972年复出的。邓小平是1973年，时间线穿越了。文革邓小平和邓小平的马仔都被打到了。反革命集团，不是邓小平一个人的事情。

在网上看了一下 “乌尔善的父亲是歌唱家，母亲是医生，两人都是纯正的蒙古族”，并不是乌兰夫次子乌可力。乌兰夫的八个孩子，云亭出长女云曙碧、长子布赫、次子乌可力、三子乌杰。
云丽文出，云争气、云秀梅、云杉和云丽珠
应该是没有这个那尔那茜的妈。

乌尔善是乌兰夫的孙子，很可能受家族影响，有隐性蒙独倾向。
乌尔善的父亲是乌可力。
这货还真是红三代，乌兰夫的孙子。
乌尔善的父亲是乌可力。
这个论坛我不知道是不是墙内的。

我们人脸比对一下，乌兰夫自己的两张照片人脸相似度74%。乌兰夫和乌可力，这张2%，不知道什么毛病，这张22%。2%是没有血缘关系，22%有。所以这个乌可力到底是不是亲生的。也可能是眼镜和大胡子影响效果。但是乌可力和乌尔善的人脸相似度是41%，乌尔善确认是乌可力的生物学父亲。

而且乌尔善和乌兰夫的人脸相似度也不高，8%和10%。也就是说乌尔善的爸爸乌可力并不一定是乌兰夫的亲生孩子。可能是侄子或者外甥。他们家到底发生了什么小秘密，我不知道。但是不管怎么说，乌尔善是当作大孙子养着的。那尔那茜和乌尔善到底是什么关系，你从网上找就行了。

和平解放内蒙的功臣
这句话我给大家解读一下。当时内蒙古不叫做内蒙古，叫做绥远，绥远沦陷。中央确定由华北军区司令员聂荣臻和华北局书记兼华北军区政委薄一波负责绥远工作。也就是说，不管那尔那茜的外公是谁，很可能是薄一波的马仔。冲着薄熙来薄一波去的，那肯定是胡锦涛温家宝搞的。要不然薄瓜瓜怎么就跳出来了。斗来斗去，对手一直就是那么几个人。这就是唱红打黑延长战。

2024年6月27日，中共中央政治局会议决定于7月15日至18日召开二十届三中全会，讨论并通过了关于进一步深化改革的决议。三中全会的召开时间间隔较短，政治局会议后约半个月即启动，显示中央全会时间安排紧随高层决策，且执行效率高。历史上，中共全会多在夏季或秋季召开，具体日期由政治需求和议程重要性决定。2024年三中全会聚焦经济改革，2025年四中全会可能转向人事调整，尤其在习近平可能下台的传言背景下。基于三中全会的7月15-18日模式，四中全会的会期有可能延续夏季安排，具体日期需结合当前局势推演。

政协副主席免职与增补程序分析

政协副主席的免职和增补是四中全会会期的重要参考因素。因为传言现在政协第二副主席胡春华正是候任中共总书记。而且现任政协第一副主席，石泰峰已经担任了中组部长。按说石泰峰也应该免职。但是不想把石泰峰的副主席交给李干杰。可以反证石泰峰被免去政协副主席的时候，李干杰已经不再是统战部长和政治局委员。因此李干杰不会担任政协副主席。

免职程序：根据政协章程，副主席免职需由全国委员会常务委员会会议通过。2014年6月25日，政协第十二届全国委员会常务委员会第六次会议免去苏荣副主席职务并撤销其委员资格，原因是所谓的腐败问题。苏荣后于2014年11月被判无期徒刑。

2015年2月28日，第十二届全国委员会常务委员会第九次会议免去令计划副主席职务并撤销资格，令计划也是以腐败的名义2016年判处无期徒刑。这两例显示，免职通常在中央全会前由政协常委会先行处理，待全会追认或调整。

还有一个增补的：增补副主席需在政协全国委员会全体会议或特别会议上表决通过。2017年3月13日，第十二届全国委员会第五次会议增选梁振英为副主席，时任香港特首，年龄54岁，反映了吸纳重要人物的需要。增补通常服务于政治平衡或统一战线策略。

2025年情境：2025年6月20日，王沪宁主持政协第十四届全国委员会第三十七次主席会议，决定8月下旬召开十四届常委会第十三次会议。传言胡春华和石泰峰可能因职务变动，胡春华升任总书记，石泰峰任中组部长，辞去政协副主席职务。如果胡春华升任总书记，胡春华政协副主席职务需要免去，程序上可参考苏荣、令计划案例，在四中全会后由8月下旬的政协常委会处理，待全会追认。石泰峰的中组部长身份也可能促使其辞职，增补新副主席或在全会后安排。

这一程序表明，四中全会需在8月下旬政协常委会之前召开，以确保人事变动合法化。8月18日作为一个可能的缓冲点，可为8月下旬会议预留筹备时间。

现在6月底，王沪宁已经决定了，要8月份召开政协会议，而且不公布具体日期。暗示四中全会可能在8月20日之前召开，以为8月下旬的政协会议铺垫。

假设王沪宁所说的8月的政协会议，和四中全会有关系，是要配合四中全会的节奏的话。那么说明四中全会的会期已经确定了。但是这个月的政治局会议，并没有召开，一般是月底召开。说明四中全会的会期已经在5月29日，那一次没有公布的政治局会议上决定了。王沪宁本人是知道的。

首先

5月29日的政治局会议是客观存在的

中纪委对第二十届中央候补委员、上海市委原常委朱芝松的立案审查已完成，给予开除党籍处分，待中央全会追认。朱芝松案涉及上海，2025年5月调查结束，追认需在四中全会期间完成。这表明全会即将召开，中纪委的行动通常与全会时间挂钩。

官方报道已经明确说了，中央纪委常委会会议研究，并报中央政治局会议审议。具体是哪一次的政治局会议呢，应该就是5月29日的政治局会议。之前我们推测出5月29日的政治局会议的议程有8项，包括开除苗华党籍，批准许其亮的处理方式，通过两个和胡春华有关的决定。任命山西省长和中联办主任。山西省长卢东亮更是李克强的马仔，而且有接班人的架势。开除朱芝松的党籍，决定美中谈判的策略。现在看，这次政治局会还决定了四中全会的会期。

火箭军代理司令王立岩和武警代理司令曹均章等人没有晋升上将，传言可能等待胡春华接任中央军委主席后晋升。历史上，上将晋升常在8月1日建军节前夕宣布，例如2021年7月30日晋升李桥铭等上将。如果将按照8月1日去推测，那么四中全会有可能是在7月18日召开。应该不止王立岩和曹均章这两个中将在代行上将职位。只是中国军队太黑箱了，很多消息是真是假也不知道。但是如果已经决定8月份，胡春华接任军委主席。那么8月1日晋升上将，肯定来不及。而且晋升上将也未必非要8月1日。

我们现在就简化成7月18日和8月18日，两个日期讨论就行。我们看2022年晋升8名上将，没有在八一的时间节点。2023年晋升7名上将，王厚斌和徐西盛的确是卡在8月1日之前的7月31日晋升。2024年晋升4名上将，没有在八一的时间节点。也就是说晋升上将，不一定要卡在八一的时间节点，随时可以晋升。所以7月18日和8月18日两个日期，还是8月18日靠谱一些。

我们看这名网友的说法。1989年6月23日召开的四中全会，这一天是星期五。十八届十九届四中全会，都是10月份，周一到周四，4天。二十届四中全会，也就7月28日和8月18日这个符合“8”。还有另外2个，9月8和12月8日。

现在是这样的，王沪宁已经暗示了就是8月下旬之前召开四中全会。王沪宁之所以不说8月下旬的具体日期，可能就是害怕我们推测出四种全会的召开日期。还有一个证据，这个梗留着，我下期再说。另外一个证据也是指向8月。

现在就是8月1号到20号，挑日子就行了。只有8月8日和8月18日两个8，其实也未必是8。他也未必就是周一到周四，周末怎么就不能开了。如果非要周一到周四就是8月18日到21日召开。8号完全可以是闭幕日期，比如8月5号8号召开。如果可以跨着周末开，就是8月8日-11日或者8月15日-18日。

蔡大外宣说的8月23日至27日，我觉得是他瞎编的节目效果。因为和王沪宁公布的日程冲突。中共内部到底发生了什么，王沪宁和陈吉宁知道的比蔡大外宣多吧。

这名网友说，
陈吉宁连续与前两任党魁的儿子共同露面，说明直接彻底与包子切割，只有内心极度反感包子才会在其失势时如此高调的反其道而行之。要知道包子可是极度小肚鸡肠，反感前任派系高调露面的

我的回复是，
对啊，习近平如果大权在握，没把江绵恒像李克强一样收拾了就不错了。那也不可能让江绵恒上新闻联播刷存在感。陈吉宁频繁的与江绵恒，胡海峰见面，说明四中全会马上召开，着急了。

好的，谢谢大家。

英文翻译

The date of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee has been determined, and Xi Jinping is finally going to leave. Lin Binyang, Hu Youtao’s chief secretary, is a subordinate of Wang Dehe, Wu Guanzheng’s nephew. Naernaxi’s grandfather is Ulanfu’s henchman

Hello everyone, let’s first add some points that Hu Youtao, Wang Dehe, and Wu Guanzheng have not mentioned.

In December 2008, 45-year-old Lin Binyang was appointed as the deputy mayor of Xinyu City, Jiangxi Province. At that time, the secretary of Xinyu Municipal Party Committee was Wang Dehe (May 2006-March 2010), and the mayor of Xinyu was Li Anze (April 2008-March 2010). Lin Binyang, Hu Youtao’s chief secretary, is a subordinate of Wang Dehe, Wu Guanzheng’s nephew. When Wu Guanzheng was the secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, he was arresting Hu Jintao’s people.

Let’s look at the secretary of Xinyu Municipal Party Committee in Jiangxi Province. Wang Dehe is Wu Guanzheng’s nephew. Zhong Ligui is a partner with Wang Dehe. When Zhong Ligui was the secretary of Xinyu Municipal Party Committee, Wang Dehe was the mayor. Zhong Ligui licked the then Sinopec Jiujiang Petrochemical General Plant Director Qin Weizhong, for some unknown reason
Qin Weizhong is now the mayor of Shenzhen. Pan Yiyang and Hong Lihe were both arrested. Pan Yiyang is Wang Qishan’s henchman. Wang Qishan promoted him in Guangdong Province, and Pan Yiyang was arrested during Wang Qishan’s tenure as Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, that is, Zhao Hongzhu arrested him. It does not mean that Wang Qishan’s people cannot be arrested when he is the Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection. Wang Qishan, Wu Guanzheng, and Xi Jinping are definitely a family.

This netizen said,
In the case of Dabao and HNA, is Guan Jun the son of Baozi? Habit, King.
My reply is
The facial similarity between the photos of Guan Jun posted by Guo Wengui and Xi Jinping and Wang Qishan is 0%. Maybe he made a mistake, or Guan Jun was originally a proxy holder, and he is not a member of the core circle at all. Maybe Wang Qishan’s subordinates took Guan Jun’s ID card and used it for a while.

This netizen said,
I personally think that Guan Jun is a fictitious character fabricated to cover up the truth.
My reply is that Guan Jun is not a fictitious character, but a real person, and he has even appeared on TV. This Guan Jun who has appeared on TV has no biological relationship with Xi Jinping and Wang Qishan, and no blood relationship.

This netizen said,
May I ask if the Inner Mongolian Naernaxi who has been on the hot search on Weibo these days in China, did the Shanghai Theatre Academy recruit students for her and her mother for two generations? It is said that her grandfather is a “hero in the peaceful liberation of Inner Mongolia”? This sentence is the key.
Who is it? It keeps on the hot search, and it won’t be removed, and it doesn’t say who her grandfather is? Who is it?

My reply is that it is Hu Chunhua who is operating it. Hu Chunhua was once the secretary of the Inner Mongolia Communist Party Committee.

Such information about the privileged class, which has been on the hot search for days and has not been removed, seems to have been removed by the official media yesterday. It was rare before this year. This year, it has continued to be on the hot search and has not been removed. If it is due to power struggle again, it is also a kind of New Year for the people to know.

This netizen said,
Ulanfu
This is the answer. My reply is, I just analyzed a few days ago that Ulanfu is from Zhou Enlai and Xi Jinping’s faction, not Deng Xiaoping’s faction, and Ulanfu has always been known as Deng Xiaoping’s French classmate. We can use the basic timeline to judge, Ulanfu returned in 1972. Deng Xiaoping was in 1973, and the timeline has traveled through time. During the Cultural Revolution, Deng Xiaoping and Deng Xiaoping’s lackeys were all beaten. The counter-revolutionary group is not Deng Xiaoping’s business alone.

I looked up on the Internet that “Wulan’s father is a singer, and his mother is a doctor. Both are pure Mongolians.” It is not Ulanfu’s second son Wu Keli. Ulanfu’s eight children, Yun Ting gave birth to the eldest daughter Yun Shubi, the eldest son Buhe, the second son Wu Keli, and the third son Wu Jie.
Yun Liwen gave birth to Yun Zhengqi, Yun Xiumei, Yun Shan and Yun Lizhu
There should be no mother of this Narnaqian.

Wuershan is the grandson of Ulanfu. He may be influenced by his family and have a hidden tendency to Mongolian independence.
Wuershan’s father is Wukeli.
This guy is really a third-generation red, the grandson of Ulanfu.
Wuershan’s father is Wukeli.
I don’t know if this forum is inside the wall.

Let’s compare the faces. The facial similarity of Ulanfu’s two photos is 74%. Ulanfu and Wukeli, this one is 2%, I don’t know what’s wrong, this one is 22%. 2% is not related by blood, 22% is. So is this Wukeli really his biological child? It may also be that the glasses and beard affect the effect. But the facial similarity between Wukeli and Wuershan is 41%, and Wuershan is confirmed to be Wukeli’s biological father.

And the facial similarity between Wuershan and Ulanfu is not high, 8% and 10%. That is to say, Wuershan’s father Wukeli is not necessarily Ulanfu’s biological child. He may be a nephew or a nephew. I don’t know what little secrets happened in their family. But no matter what, Wuershan was raised as his grandson. You can find out what the relationship between Narnaxi and Wuershan is on the Internet.

The hero of the peaceful liberation of Inner Mongolia
Let me interpret this sentence for you. At that time, Inner Mongolia was not called Inner Mongolia, but Suiyuan, and Suiyuan fell. The Central Committee determined that Nie Rongzhen, commander of the North China Military Region, and Bo Yibo, secretary of the North China Bureau and political commissar of the North China Military Region, would be responsible for Suiyuan. In other words, no matter who Narnaxi’s grandfather was, he was probably Bo Yibo’s lackey. Going after Bo Xilai and Bo Yibo must have been done by Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao. Otherwise, how could Bo Guagua jump out? Fighting back and forth, the opponents have always been the same few people. This is the extended war of singing red and fighting black.

On June 27, 2024, the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee decided to hold the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee from July 15 to 18 to discuss and pass the resolution on further deepening reform. The Third Plenary Session of the Central Committee was held at a relatively short interval, and it was launched about half a month after the Politburo meeting, indicating that the time arrangement of the Central Plenary Session closely followed the high-level decision-making and was highly efficient in execution. Historically, the CPC Plenary Sessions were mostly held in summer or autumn, and the specific date was determined by political needs and the importance of the agenda. The Third Plenary Session of the Central Committee in 2024 focused on economic reform, and the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee in 2025 may turn to personnel adjustments, especially against the background of rumors that Xi Jinping may step down. Based on the July 15-18 model of the Third Plenary Session, the Fourth Plenary Session may continue the summer arrangement, and the specific date needs to be deduced in combination with the current situation.

Analysis of the removal and supplementation procedures of the vice chairman of the CPPCC
The removal and supplementation of the vice chairman of the CPPCC is an important reference factor for the Fourth Plenary Session. Because it is rumored that Hu Chunhua, the second vice chairman of the CPPCC, is the next general secretary of the Communist Party of China. And the current first vice chairman of the CPPCC, Shi Taifeng, has served as the head of the Organization Department. In theory, Shi Taifeng should also be removed from office. But I don’t want to hand over Shi Taifeng’s vice chairmanship to Li Ganjie. It can be proved that when Shi Taifeng was removed from the post of Vice Chairman of the CPPCC, Li Ganjie was no longer the Minister of United Front Work and a member of the Political Bureau. Therefore, Li Ganjie will not serve as Vice Chairman of the CPPCC.

Removal procedure: According to the CPPCC Charter, the removal of a Vice Chairman must be approved by the Standing Committee of the National Committee. On June 25, 2014, the Sixth Meeting of the Standing Committee of the 12th National Committee of the CPPCC removed Su Rong from the post of Vice Chairman and revoked his membership due to alleged corruption. Su Rong was later sentenced to life imprisonment in November 2014.

On February 28, 2015, the Ninth Meeting of the Standing Committee of the 12th National Committee removed Ling Jihua from the post of Vice Chairman and revoked his membership. Ling Jihua was also sentenced to life imprisonment in 2016 for corruption. These two cases show that removal is usually handled by the Standing Committee of the CPPCC before the Central Plenary Session, pending ratification or adjustment by the Plenary Session.

There is also an additional one: the addition of a Vice Chairman must be voted on and approved at the plenary session or special meeting of the National Committee of the CPPCC. On March 13, 2017, the Fifth Session of the 12th National Committee elected Leung Chun-ying as Vice Chairman, who was then the Chief Executive of Hong Kong and was 54 years old, reflecting the need to absorb important figures. Additions usually serve political balance or united front strategies.

Scenario in 2025: On June 20, 2025, Wang Huning presided over the 37th Chairman’s Meeting of the 14th National Committee of the CPPCC and decided to hold the 13th Meeting of the 14th Standing Committee in late August. It is rumored that Hu Chunhua and Shi Taifeng may resign from their posts as Vice Chairman of the CPPCC due to job changes, with Hu Chunhua promoted to General Secretary and Shi Taifeng as Minister of the Organization Department. If Hu Chunhua is promoted to General Secretary, Hu Chunhua’s post as Vice Chairman of the CPPCC needs to be removed. The procedure can refer to the cases of Su Rong and Ling Jihua. After the Fourth Plenary Session, it will be handled by the CPPCC Standing Committee in late August and will be ratified by the Plenary Session. Shi Taifeng’s identity as Minister of the Organization Department may also prompt him to resign, and the addition of a new Vice Chairman may be arranged after the Plenary Session.

This procedure indicates that the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee needs to be held before the Standing Committee of the CPPCC in late August to ensure the legalization of personnel changes. August 18th is a possible buffer point to reserve preparation time for the meeting in late August.

Now at the end of June, Wang Huning has decided to hold a CPPCC meeting in August, and the specific date has not been announced. It implies that the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee may be held before August 20th to pave the way for the CPPCC meeting in late August.

Assuming that the CPPCC meeting in August mentioned by Wang Huning is related to the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee and is to match the rhythm of the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee. Then it means that the date of the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee has been determined. However, the Politburo meeting this month was not held, and it is usually held at the end of the month. It means that the date of the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee has been decided on May 29, at the unannounced Politburo meeting. Wang Huning himself knows it.

First of all

The Politburo meeting on May 29th is objectively existing
The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection has completed the investigation of Zhu Zhisong, the alternate member of the 20th Central Committee and the former member of the Standing Committee of the Shanghai Municipal Committee, and expelled him from the party, pending ratification by the Central Plenary Session. The Zhu Zhisong case involves Shanghai, and the investigation will end in May 2025. The ratification must be completed during the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee. This shows that the plenary session is about to be held, and the actions of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection are usually linked to the time of the plenary session.

Official reports have clearly stated that the Standing Committee of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection will study and report to the Central Politburo meeting for deliberation. Which Politburo meeting was it specifically? It should be the Politburo meeting on May 29th. We previously speculated that the agenda of the Politburo meeting on May 29th had 8 items, including expelling Miao Hua from the party, approving Xu Qiliang’s handling method, and passing two decisions related to Hu Chunhua. Appoint the governor of Shanxi Province and the director of the Liaison Office of the Central People’s Government in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region. Shanxi Governor Lu Dongliang is even more of Li Keqiang’s lackey, and has the posture of a successor. Expelling Zhu Zhisong from the party determines the strategy of the US-China negotiations. Now it seems that this Politburo meeting also decided the date of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee.

Wang Liyan, acting commander of the Rocket Force, and Cao Junzhang, acting commander of the Armed Police Force, were not promoted to generals. It is rumored that they may wait for Hu Chunhua to take over as Chairman of the Central Military Commission before being promoted. Historically, the promotion of generals was often announced on the eve of the Army Day on August 1, such as the promotion of Li Qiaoming and other generals on July 30, 2021. If we speculate on August 1, then the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee may be held on July 18. There should be more than two lieutenant generals, Wang Liyan and Cao Junzhang, acting as generals. It’s just that the Chinese military is too black box, and it is unknown whether many news are true or false. But if it has been decided that Hu Chunhua will take over as Chairman of the Military Commission in August. Then it will definitely be too late to be promoted to generals on August 1. And the promotion to generals does not necessarily have to be on August 1.

Let’s simplify it to July 18 and August 18, and discuss the two dates. We see that 8 generals will be promoted in 2022, and there is no time node on August 1. Seven generals will be promoted in 2023. Wang Houbin and Xu Xisheng were indeed promoted on July 31, before August 1. Four generals will be promoted in 2024, but not on the August 1 time node. In other words, promotion to general does not have to be stuck on the August 1 time node, and can be promoted at any time. So between the two dates of July 18 and August 18, August 18 is more reliable.

Let’s look at what this netizen said. The Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee was held on June 23, 1989, which was Friday. The Fourth Plenary Sessions of the 18th and 19th Central Committees were all held in October, from Monday to Thursday, for 4 days. The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee, which is July 28 and August 18, meets the “8”. There are two others, September 8 and December 8.

Now it is like this, Wang Huning has hinted that the Fourth Plenary Session will be held before late August. The reason why Wang Huning did not say the specific date of late August may be that he is afraid that we will speculate the dates of the four plenary sessions. There is another piece of evidence. I will save this joke for the next issue. Another piece of evidence also points to August.

Now it is August 1st to 20th. Just pick a date. There are only two 8s, August 8th and August 18th. In fact, it may not be 8. It may not be Monday to Thursday. Why can’t it be held on weekends? If it must be held from Monday to Thursday, it will be held from August 18th to 21st. The 8th can be the closing date, such as August 5th and August 8th. If it can be held on the weekend, it will be August 8th-11th or August 15th-18th.

I think the August 23rd to 27th mentioned by Cai Dawai is a program effect he made up. Because it conflicts with the schedule announced by Wang Huning. What happened inside the CCP, Wang Huning and Chen Jining know more than Cai Dawai.

This netizen said,
Chen Jining’s continuous appearances with the sons of the two previous party leaders show that he has completely cut ties with Baozi. Only if he is extremely disgusted with Baozi in his heart will he do the opposite in such a high-profile way when he loses power. You should know that Baozi is extremely petty and dislikes the high-profile appearances of the previous faction.

My reply is,
Yes, if Xi Jinping is in power, it would be good if he did not deal with Jiang Mianheng like Li Keqiang. It is impossible for Jiang Mianheng to appear on the news broadcast to show his presence. Chen Jining’s frequent meetings with Jiang Mianheng and Hu Haifeng show that the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee will be held soon and he is anxious.

Okay, thank you everyone.